Donors who contribute $1 million or more to Freedom 250 can secure an invitation to a private reception hosted by Trump himself.
Trump Held a Fair And (Almost) No One Came
Flipping just 19 state legislative seats in 2026 could hand Democrats six new majorities and four new trifectas in presidential battleground states — here's why almost nobody is paying attention.
Pod Save America
Trump Held a Fair And (Almost) No One Came
Flipping just 19 state legislative seats in 2026 could hand Democrats six new majorities and four new trifectas in presidential battleground states — here's why almost nobody is paying attention.
TL;DR
Trump's "Great American State Fair" flopped on the National Mall — sparse crowds, broken generators, melted ice cream, and a MAGA livestreamer arrested for public masturbation [1] — Tommy Vietor "A 54-year-old right-wing MAGA livestreamer was arrested by park police for masturbating in front of an acrobat troupe at Trump's Great Amer…" 06:33 — while Fox News hosts struggled to spin empty green fields as a triumph [2] — Jon Favreau "Fox News deployed hosts to broadcast live from Trump's Great American State Fair — only to find sparse crowds and green fields behind them.…" 04:39 . Jon Favreau, Jon Lovett, and Tommy Vietor also unpack two landmark Supreme Court rulings stripping independence from agencies like the FTC [3] — Tommy Vietor "The Supreme Court's 6-3 conservative majority reversed 91 years of precedent, ruling Trump can fire FTC commissioners and leaders of other …" 24:20 and protecting mail-in ballot counting, Trump's sulky non-veto of a popular bipartisan housing bill, and the DSA vs. establishment debate inside the Democratic Party. Then DLCC president Heather Williams explains how flipping just 19 state legislative seats could build six new Democratic majorities in 2026 [4] — Jon Favreau "Dems outspent GOP 3-to-1 at state level: In 2024, the Democratic side outspent the Republican State Leadership Committee roughly $175 milli…" 1:07:42 .
Trump's Great American State Fair draws almost no visitors on the National Mall, while Fox News struggles to spin empty fields as triumph. A MAGA livestreamer is arrested for public masturbation. The hosts discuss Monday's Supreme Court rulings on independent agencies and mail-in ballots, Trump's indifference toward a bipartisan housing bill, and DSA momentum after New York primaries. Then DLCC President Heather Williams joins Jon to discuss building Democratic state legislative majorities.
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Before the hosts say a word of content, Pod Save America's ad roll kicks off with three back-to-back sponsor reads. SimpliSafe leads — listeners get 50% off a new system with professional monitoring — with an aside that Jon Lovett installed his own system and everyone is very proud of him. McDonald's plugs its new summer drink lineup including a strawberry watermelon refresher and mango pineapple refresher with popping boba. Shopify closes the pre-show with a pitch to scale your business on what it calls 'the best converting checkout on the planet.' It's a compact, businesslike opening before the hosts take over.
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Jon Favreau, Jon Lovett, and Tommy Vietor briefly introduce themselves before Favreau lays out the full episode agenda: major Supreme Court decisions on mail-in voting and Trump's power to fire agency heads, a looming decision on the bipartisan housing bill being held hostage to the SAVE Act, the DSA primary momentum following New York, and a studio interview with Heather Williams of the DLCC about building Democratic majorities at the state level. The preview is brisk and sets up a notably heavy news cycle.
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The segment opens with Trump's 6:30 a.m. Truth Social post asking whether people appreciate his 'fantastic' Great American State Fair — misspelling 'Obama' as 'Obuma' along the way. Favreau explains the context: a 16-day exposition run by Freedom 250, the entity Trump created to compete with the bipartisan America 250, which drew 10 states to opt out, saw all major musical acts drop except Flo Rida and Vanilla Ice, and was plagued from opening weekend by extreme heat, rain, power outages, and sparse crowds. The hosts play Fox News clips in which hosts marveled at being at a 'state fair' while struggling to explain away the empty fields behind them, predicting crowds would arrive after the stock exchange closed. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy thanked the military band and called absent artists 'libtards.' Then came the segment's most memorable detail: a 54-year-old right-wing MAGA livestreamer was arrested by park police for masturbating in front of an acrobat troupe while simultaneously vaping and recording — then reportedly returned for a second attempt [1] — Tommy Vietor "A 54-year-old right-wing MAGA livestreamer was arrested by park police for masturbating in front of an acrobat troupe at Trump's Great Amer…" 06:33 . The hosts' glee is barely contained.
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Jon Lovett delivers a sharply observed cultural critique: MAGA World is essentially an internet phenomenon — caricatures of collapsing cities, complaints about national decline, all circulating among people who never actually go to state fairs or mix with their fellow citizens in public spaces. The spectacle of Larry Kudlow broadcasting from an outdoor event he visibly had no idea how to inhabit captures something real, Lovett argues. He pivots to a broader historical riff: he's been reading Erik Larson's 'Devil in the White City' about the 1893 World's Fair in Chicago, where Americans built the first Ferris wheel — basically a moving steel Eiffel Tower — to show Europe what America could do. Now, 130 years later, Trump's version of a great American fair featured a Ferris wheel that broke down from generator failures, Vanilla Ice canceling due to inclement weather despite pledging 'rain or shine,' melted ice cream, and a Confederate flag in the North Carolina booth. Jon Lovett's verdict: jagoffs, with jagoffs to spare [1] — Jon Lovett "The original America 250 plan had bipartisan membership, national events, big concerts, and years of preparation. Trump took the money, han…" 08:35 .
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With the fair rained out Sunday, Trump spent the morning motorcading around the Capitol. He toured the East Potomac Golf Links and plans to start renovation of the federally owned public course September 1st despite a federal judge threatening 'serious consequences' without approval. He's also redesigning Lafayette Park to contain exactly 47 maple trees — his favorite — to honor himself as the 47th president. Nobody knows how many trees currently exist there, meaning someone has to go count. Meanwhile, the Atlantic's Michael Scherer revealed that Trump's new White House colonnade — made of polished African granite carved in Italy, and which Trump claimed to have personally paid for — was actually charged to taxpayers for approximately $690,000 [1] — Jon Favreau "Trump's new White House colonnade, made of polished African granite carved in Italy, was claimed by Trump to have been personally paid for.…" 15:15 , with additional hundreds of thousands spent modifying the adjoining wall to hang Trump's own photos. The hosts also mock a limited-edition U.S. passport bearing Trump's photo that he described as saying 'Welcome, but be good' — language that appears nowhere on the document. Jon Lovett's response to all of it: he'd rather have Trump occupied with vanity tree projects than doing real damage, but the double standard is jarring — if Biden had wandered around discussing renovations in his final year, the right would have been calling for the 25th Amendment.
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Jon Favreau leads the hosts through the Supreme Court's final days of term, starting with two relatively positive rulings. First, the court declined to throw out the 2023 verdict finding Trump liable for sexually abusing and defaming E. Jean Carroll, meaning she receives her $5 million — though Trump had already transferred $5.5 million to a court-controlled account in 2023, so the outcome was largely inevitable. Lovett notes that while he's glad Carroll gets paid, $5 million is fairly low on the list of accountability Trump could have faced. A second $83 million defamation verdict is still being appealed. Second, in a 6-3 ruling with a surprising coalition — Gorsuch, Kavanaugh, and Roberts siding with the liberal justices — the court held that the Fourth Amendment covers cell phone location history even when stored by third parties like Google or Apple, requiring police to obtain a specific warrant rather than sweeping geofence warrants. Tommy Vietor notes that the government was trying to argue that demanding just 'a little taste' of location history wasn't a search at all. Justice Sotomayor enumerated what location data reveals — psychiatrist visits, abortion clinics, strip clubs — and Kagan argued that location tracking isn't optional; it's the price of having a cell phone. Jon Lovett praises the ruling for updating privacy principles to reflect how people actually live in a digital world.
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Tommy Vietor reads for ZBiotics, the genetically engineered probiotic designed to break down the toxic byproduct of alcohol metabolism and reduce rough mornings after drinking. He credits it with 'saving us in Chicago' on a work trip and says he won't drink without it — listeners get 15% off at zbiotics.com/crooked with code Crooked. Jon Favreau follows with a Hims read, noting that ED is more common than men discuss and that Hims provides 100% online access to licensed healthcare providers who can prescribe sildenafil (generic Viagra) at up to 95% less than the brand-name price, shipped directly to the door.
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The biggest ruling of the term gets its full treatment here. In a 6-3 decision, the conservative Supreme Court majority reversed 91 years of precedent established in Humphrey's Executor and ruled that Trump can fire FTC Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter — and by extension, leaders of the SEC, Consumer Product Safety Commission, EEOC, NLRB, and other independent agencies — without any stated reason [1] — Tommy Vietor "The Supreme Court's 6-3 conservative majority reversed 91 years of precedent, ruling Trump can fire FTC commissioners and leaders of other …" 24:20 . Tommy Vietor explains the practical implication: the president can also simply strip agencies of their quorum, preventing them from meeting at all. The Federal Reserve gets a carve-out in a 5-4 decision — even the appearance of political pressure on monetary policy could destroy faith in the U.S. economy, the court reasoned — but Lisa Cook's job protection is precarious: the ruling said Trump simply didn't go through the proper process, and he can try again with stated cause. Jon Lovett makes the key structural argument: this isn't just expanding executive power, it's stealing power Congress explicitly delegated to these quasi-legislative and quasi-judicial bodies. The hosts debate whether a future Democratic president would benefit, with Lovett warning that Gorsuch's concurrence signals the court would just strike down agencies' powers entirely if a Democrat tried to use them. Jon Favreau's bottom line: as long as this Supreme Court majority holds, there are no independent agencies except potentially the Fed.
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In a rare cross-ideological outcome, the Supreme Court voted 5-4 — with Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Amy Coney Barrett joining the three liberal justices — to uphold a Mississippi law allowing mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day to be counted even if they arrive after. The decision could preempt similar Republican legal challenges in at least 14 other states and protect existing policies in approximately 30 states [1] — Jon Favreau "In a 5-4 ruling where John Roberts and Amy Coney Barrett sided with the liberals, the Supreme Court upheld Mississippi's law counting mail-…" 31:10 . Trump responded on Truth Social by whining about the decision and name-dropping five Senate Republicans he wants to pressure into passing the SAVE Act, his voter registration proof-of-citizenship bill. Tommy Vietor praises the ruling as an important win for election integrity but warns it represents just one chip that didn't come undone in an ongoing, systematic Republican assault on voting rights.
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The bipartisan housing bill to boost housing supply and affordability passed with overwhelming margins: 85 Senate votes, 358 House votes. Senate Majority Leader Mike Johnson sent it to Trump anyway, meaning it becomes law in 10 days unless Trump vetoes it. But Trump — apparently egged on by Bill Pulte — decided to hold it hostage to force passage of the SAVE Act, a voter registration bill with no meaningful fraud problem to solve and polling at only 52% support. Florida Representative Randy Fine encapsulated the MAGA caucus's logic: if Elizabeth Warren likes a bill, it must be bad, and besides, he didn't come to Washington to work with Democrats, he came to beat them [1] — Donald Trump "When I look at that bill, it's a bill. But when I look at the Save America Act, it's about saving America. To me, compared to the Save Amer…" 32:57 . Trump's audio was even more damning: he called the housing bill 'a big yawn' and said the SAVE Act was 'about saving America.' Jon Lovett mourned it as a rare bipartisan policymaking moment, 'like from another era,' with Elizabeth Warren, Republicans, and the White House all poised to celebrate — before Trump ripped the rug out at the one-yard line. The hosts predict Trump will ultimately let it become law without signing it, having thrown his tantrum, but the political damage to frontline House Republicans who were counting on it as a reelection asset may already be done.
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Tommy Vietor reads for Common Power, an organizing group that trains volunteers to door-knock for Democrats in over 50 key races across battleground states. Common Power has already driven victories in New York, Texas, and Maine and is partnering with Vote Save America for the general election — listeners can donate and volunteer at commonpower.org/crooked. Jon Favreau follows with a Magic Spoon read, highlighting the brand's protein snack bars (12g protein, 7g fiber, 0g added sugar) and noting that the cereal remains 'iconic' — both hosts agree they want the chocolate peanut butter flavor immediately. Magic Spoon is now available at 7-Eleven nationwide.
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The hosts play clips from Zohran Mamdani, Josh Shapiro, and Chris Murphy reacting to the DSA's New York primary wins. Gottheimer's blunt declaration — 'if you're a socialist, you are not a Democrat' — is the flashpoint. Tommy Vietor slots himself into the Murphy camp: the results reflect voters' rage at the establishment and status quo, not a wholesale shift toward socialism. Most DSA members, he argues, aren't Marxist-Leninists but are describing a worldview much closer to the UK Labour Party or Nordic social democracy than anything historically alarming — and the Scandinavians, notably, don't get attacked. Jon Lovett acknowledges that deeply liberal districts are entitled to elect whoever they want — that's what primaries are for — while noting that Josh Shapiro actually handled the tension well by disagreeing firmly without declaring anyone persona non grata. The hosts agree that Gottheimer's 'you're with us or against us' framing is counterproductive, and compare the current panic to the identical freakout when AOC beat Joe Crowley in 2018, after which the party went on to nominate Joe Biden [1] — Tommy Vietor "Tommy Vietor's read on the New York DSA primary wins: voters are angry and willing to trade powerful incumbents for something new to demons…" 42:10 . Jon Favreau adds that frontline Democrats in competitive districts should feel free to distance themselves clearly from DSA positions they find objectionable — Biden did exactly that on defund the police — without trying to purge anyone.
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The conversation deepens into a nuanced argument about how the Democratic coalition should handle its internal tensions. Jon Lovett draws a sharp distinction: Democratic voters in safe blue districts have every right to elect whom they want, and newly elected officials deserve the grace to show who they've become since their most controversial statements. AOC made this point about Daria Elisa Chevalier: holding office changes you, the weight of responsibility does real work. But that grace doesn't eliminate accountability — being part of a coalition means Republicans will weaponize your past statements, and the coalition deserves clarity on where you stand now that you have a platform. Jon Favreau describes the online reaction to his Thursday take on this subject: people calling for him to be 'Luigi'd,' a viral video placing his photo next to Mike Johnson's captioned 'these two are the same.' Tommy Vietor calls the reaction patronizing and stupid — once you're an elected official or a prominent commentator, everything is fair game [1] — Jon Lovett "Democratic voters in deeply blue districts get to choose whoever they want — that's what primaries are for. But winning a seat comes with r…" 46:46 . The hosts agree that Zohran Mamdani himself represents a more sophisticated approach: actively persuading Jewish New Yorkers of his opposition to antisemitism without giving an inch on his anti-Israel positions, condemning the Chevalier rally, doing real coalition work.
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Jon Favreau sets the scene: Scott Wiener, the San Francisco state senator running for Nancy Pelosi's congressional seat, was surrounded and berated by hecklers at the city's annual Trans March. The protesters accused him of betraying queers through his Israel positions and told him he had 'stopped being queer' the moment he started supporting Israel. Wiener ultimately left because the confrontation became physically unsafe. The irony is acute: per his own website, Wiener has publicly called Israel's actions in Gaza a genocide (joining Bernie Sanders and Representative Balint as one of only three prominent Jewish elected officials to do so), never taken AIPAC money, voted no on military funding for Israel, and supports Palestinian statehood. Jon Lovett is direct [1] — Jon Favreau "San Francisco State Senator Scott Wiener — who publicly called Israel's actions in Gaza a genocide, never took AIPAC money, voted no on mil…" 52:45 : if you are following a Jewish elected official around a park yelling at him about his Zionist handlers because his position on Israel — which is that it committed a genocide — is insufficiently anti-Israel, then you are being an antisemite. Tommy Vietor adds that the people filming it make their own movement look bad, hand Fox News a forever clip about crazy Democrats, and achieved the opposite of their stated goal by making Wiener sympathetic. Jon Favreau says the right response from the broader left is to call it out — holding two ideas at once is entirely possible.
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Tommy Vietor reads for Rocket Money, sharing a relatable anecdote about unknowingly paying for a British streaming service for one episode before canceling. Rocket Money has saved users over $880 million in canceled subscriptions and offers real-time spending alerts, consolidated financial dashboards, and subscription tracking — join at rocketmoney.com/crooked. A ThirdLove ad follows, positioning the brand around comfort-first bra design for over 60 sizes including half cups unavailable elsewhere, with $15 off a first purchase using code PODCAST15.
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Jon Favreau welcomes Heather Williams, president of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, to the studio. He opens with a pointed question: if we get a contested presidential result in 2028, which chambers stand between a close call and a stolen election? Williams identifies the key battleground states — Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, Pennsylvania — as the places where winning legislative majorities in 2026 matters most for 2028 [1] — Heather Williams "Free meals for every kid in school — the kind of policy that puts money directly in working families' pockets — is a direct product of Demo…" 1:02:32 . She explains that the entire presidential certification process, along with voting laws and election administration, are state-level functions — more people understood this viscerally after 2020. She then grounds the abstract in something concrete: free school meals for every kid, which passed in Minnesota when Democrats held the trifecta and has since spread to multiple states, is her favorite example of what winning state legislative power actually delivers for working families.
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Jon Favreau asks Williams to walk through the target map. She describes three tiers of opportunity: breaking Republican supermajorities in the South to put Democrats in the negotiating room; protecting Democratic governors' veto pens in Republican-controlled states; and building outright new majorities and trifectas in presidential battlegrounds. The headline number is striking: just 19 seats in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona would produce six new Democratic majorities and four new trifectas [1] — Heather Williams "Winning just 19 state legislative seats across four presidential battleground states — Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona — would …" 1:03:50 . She also flags the longer-term play — the South is growing, the 2030 Census reapportionment will create new congressional districts, and building Democratic infrastructure now in states like Georgia and North Carolina will pay dividends for a decade. Jon Favreau then asks what will be the chamber to watch on election night; Williams gives a personal answer (Minnesota, her home state) and a strategic one (Arizona, if Democrats are truly having an extraordinary year).
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Jon Favreau surfaces a counterintuitive data point: in 2024, the Democratic side outspent the Republican State Leadership Committee by better than 3-to-1 — about $175 million to $49 million — and still lost the Minnesota trifecta and the Michigan House [1] — Jon Favreau "In 2024, Democrats outspent the Republican State Leadership Committee roughly $175 million to $49 million at the state legislative level — …" 1:07:42 . So if money isn't the constraint, what is? Williams identifies the 'attention battle': low-name-ID first-time candidates running for state legislature can't cut through in a crowded ballot environment no matter how much you spend on them. The fix requires running candidates as part of coordinated tickets with statewide races. On the harder question of gerrymandered states where legislative wins seem structurally impossible, she outlines three simultaneous strategies: never abandoning the minority caucus because those legislators still have some power, especially with a Democratic governor's veto; winning state Supreme Court races that can force map redraws (Wisconsin's turnaround is the model); and pursuing ballot initiatives to create nonpartisan redistricting commissions, as Michigan did through its People Not Politicians process.
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Jon Favreau asks about recruitment — specifically, how do you convince candidates to run in districts Republicans win by 20-30 points? Williams says she was most nervous about recruitment coming out of 2024, especially after the horrific assassination of Minnesota House Speaker Hortman. But the response was the opposite of what she feared: people are energized to run. Minnesota has a full slate in every district; Kansas has its biggest slate of candidates in 30 years. The candidates tend to be middle-class, first-time, ordinary people rather than made-for-TV politicians — and that's actually their superpower. They can knock the door of every voter in their district, they're never off duty at the grocery store or school drop-off, and they have a genuine personal story to tell. Williams then answers why these candidates routinely run ahead of the national party brand: they are masters of localization [1] — Heather Williams "The Democratic national brand is in the basement, yet state legislative Democrats routinely run ahead of it. The reason: they translate abs…" 1:11:15 . The infrastructure bill isn't an abstract number — it's the road that's going to be fixed in 20 minutes, cutting 40 minutes off your daily commute. Everything gets translated into neighborhood impact. That art form, she argues, is what separates them from national politics.
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Jon Favreau asks his most direct question: what should a listener who's surrounded by Trumpy neighbors and sure Democrats have no shot do right now? Williams doesn't hedge: get involved in your state legislative race. It will broaden your view of your neighbors, open conversations that move the needle, and give you a concrete outlet for the energy that otherwise just turns into despair [1] — Heather Williams "For Democrats living in deep-red areas who feel hopeless, Heather Williams has a direct prescription: get involved in your state legislativ…" 1:13:50 . These races are run on the margins, and direct voter contact by candidates and the volunteers around them is the most powerful persuasion tool available. She notes that the conversation is craved even across political lines — disillusioned Republicans who no longer feel at home in Trump's party are reachable in ways national politics can't access. Jon Favreau closes the interview noting the DLCC has already flipped 30 seats this cycle in some ruby-red districts, and Williams projects that a +4 environment could translate to 600+ flipped seats nationally in 2026.
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Jon Favreau closes the episode with a brief thanks to Heather Williams for stopping by the studio, and notes that he and Dan will return with a new episode on Friday. The credits roll: Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production, produced by Austin Phillips, Saul Rubin, McKenna Roberts, and Faris Safary, with the full production team listed. The hosts note proudly that the staff is unionized with the Writers Guild of America East.
- Freedom 250
- The Trump-created 501(c) nonprofit entity that replaced America 250 as the organizer of the National Mall celebrations for America's 250th birthday, with limited financial transparency.
- America 250
- The bipartisan entity created by Congress years earlier to plan America's 250th anniversary celebrations nationally, which Trump sidelined in favor of his own Freedom 250 organization.
- Unitary executive theory
- A constitutional doctrine holding that the president has complete control over the entire executive branch, including all agencies, and used by the Supreme Court majority to justify allowing presidential firing of agency heads at will.
- Geofence warrant
- A broad law enforcement demand for location data of every mobile phone within a defined geographic area and time window, which the Supreme Court ruled violates the Fourth Amendment.
- FTC
- Federal Trade Commission — an independent regulatory agency that enforces antitrust and consumer protection law, stripped of its leadership independence by the 6-3 Supreme Court ruling discussed in this episode.
- NLRB
- National Labor Relations Board — an independent federal agency that enforces labor law and protects workers' rights to organize, now subject to presidential removal of leaders without cause under the new Supreme Court ruling.
- EEOC
- Equal Employment Opportunity Commission — a federal agency that enforces laws against workplace discrimination, also affected by the Supreme Court's ruling eliminating independent agency protections.
- RSLC
- Republican State Leadership Committee — the Republican counterpart to the DLCC that focuses on winning state legislative races; Democrats outspent it roughly $175M to $49M in 2024.
- DLCC
- Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee — the Democratic organization focused on winning and maintaining state legislative majorities across the country.
- Trifecta
- A political situation in which one party controls the governorship and both chambers of a state legislature, enabling it to pass legislation without opposition party vetoes or blocks.
- SAVE Act
- Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act — a Trump-backed bill requiring proof of citizenship to register to vote, which Trump threatened to withhold signing the housing bill over despite it having little chance of passing.
- DSA
- Democratic Socialists of America — a left-wing political organization whose endorsed candidates won several New York City primaries, sparking an intra-Democratic debate about the party's ideological direction.
- Supermajority
- A legislative majority large enough to override vetoes or block minority party actions — Republicans hold supermajorities in several Southern state legislatures, limiting Democratic influence even when a Democratic governor holds veto power.
- Quorum
- The minimum number of members an agency or legislative body needs present to conduct official business; the president can paralyze independent agencies by firing enough members that they can no longer meet quorum.
- Reapportionment
- The post-Census redistribution of congressional seats among states based on population changes — Heather Williams cited the 2030 Census reapportionment as a reason to build Democratic strength in Southern states now.
- Boondoggle
- A wasteful or fraudulent project or expenditure, used here by Jon Lovett to describe Trump's Great American State Fair as a financially opaque partisan vanity event.
- Corpus delicti
- Not used directly, but the show discusses 'for cause' — a legal standard requiring evidence of wrongdoing before a government employee can be dismissed, relevant to the Lisa Cook / Federal Reserve case.
- For cause
- The legal standard in the Federal Reserve Act requiring the president to present specific evidence of wrongdoing before removing a Federal Reserve governor, distinct from the at-will removal now allowed for other independent agency heads.
- Perfunctory
- Carried out with minimal effort or care; used implicitly to describe states like Connecticut and Maine that participated in the state fair by putting up just four chairs and posting lobster facts.
- Heterodox
- Departing from conventional or established views; Jon Lovett used it to describe the ideologically diverse, complicated nature of the American electorate that resists simple left-right categorization.
Chapter 3 · 03:35
Trump's Great American State Fair: A Partisan Flop
The segment opens with Trump's 6:30 a.m. Truth Social post asking whether people appreciate his 'fantastic' Great American State Fair — misspelling 'Obama' as 'Obuma' along the way. Favreau explains the context: a 16-day exposition run by Freedom 250, the entity Trump created to compete with the bipartisan America 250, which drew 10 states to opt out, saw all major musical acts drop except Flo Rida and Vanilla Ice, and was plagued from opening weekend by extreme heat, rain, power outages, and sparse crowds. The hosts play Fox News clips in which hosts marveled at being at a 'state fair' while struggling to explain away the empty fields behind them, predicting crowds would arrive after the stock exchange closed. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy thanked the military band and called absent artists 'libtards.' Then came the segment's most memorable detail: a 54-year-old right-wing MAGA livestreamer was arrested by park police for masturbating in front of an acrobat troupe while simultaneously vaping and recording — then reportedly returned for a second attempt [1] — Tommy Vietor "A 54-year-old right-wing MAGA livestreamer was arrested by park police for masturbating in front of an acrobat troupe at Trump's Great Amer…" 06:33 . The hosts' glee is barely contained.
Claims made here
Ten states declined to participate in Trump's Great American State Fair on the National Mall, citing its partisan nature.
Fox News deployed hosts to broadcast live from Trump's Great American State Fair — only to find sparse crowds and green fields behind them. Rather than report reality, they pivoted to predicting crowds would surge after the stock exchange closed, while Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy praised the military band as 'way better than those libtards who canceled.'
A 54-year-old right-wing MAGA livestreamer was arrested by park police for masturbating in front of an acrobat troupe at Trump's Great American State Fair — while simultaneously vaping and recording. According to witnesses, he came back for round two before police nabbed him.
A 54-year-old right-wing MAGA livestreamer was arrested by park police for masturbating in front of an acrobat troupe at Trump's Great American State Fair.
The original America 250 plan had bipartisan membership, national events, big concerts, and years of preparation. Trump took the money, handed it to Freedom 250, turned it into a partisan spectacle, and now almost nobody is showing up. He could have just let it happen — instead he grabbed it and torched it.
Donors who contribute $1 million or more to Freedom 250, the entity Trump created to run the fair, can secure an invitation to a private reception hosted by Trump himself.
Chapter 4 · 09:05
MAGA World Exists Online — And Is Lost at a Real State Fair
Jon Lovett delivers a sharply observed cultural critique: MAGA World is essentially an internet phenomenon — caricatures of collapsing cities, complaints about national decline, all circulating among people who never actually go to state fairs or mix with their fellow citizens in public spaces. The spectacle of Larry Kudlow broadcasting from an outdoor event he visibly had no idea how to inhabit captures something real, Lovett argues. He pivots to a broader historical riff: he's been reading Erik Larson's 'Devil in the White City' about the 1893 World's Fair in Chicago, where Americans built the first Ferris wheel — basically a moving steel Eiffel Tower — to show Europe what America could do. Now, 130 years later, Trump's version of a great American fair featured a Ferris wheel that broke down from generator failures, Vanilla Ice canceling due to inclement weather despite pledging 'rain or shine,' melted ice cream, and a Confederate flag in the North Carolina booth. Jon Lovett's verdict: jagoffs, with jagoffs to spare [1] — Jon Lovett "The original America 250 plan had bipartisan membership, national events, big concerts, and years of preparation. Trump took the money, han…" 08:35 .
Chapter 5 · 12:00
Trump's Vanity Projects: Colonnade, Passport, Lafayette Park Trees
With the fair rained out Sunday, Trump spent the morning motorcading around the Capitol. He toured the East Potomac Golf Links and plans to start renovation of the federally owned public course September 1st despite a federal judge threatening 'serious consequences' without approval. He's also redesigning Lafayette Park to contain exactly 47 maple trees — his favorite — to honor himself as the 47th president. Nobody knows how many trees currently exist there, meaning someone has to go count. Meanwhile, the Atlantic's Michael Scherer revealed that Trump's new White House colonnade — made of polished African granite carved in Italy, and which Trump claimed to have personally paid for — was actually charged to taxpayers for approximately $690,000 [1] — Jon Favreau "Trump's new White House colonnade, made of polished African granite carved in Italy, was claimed by Trump to have been personally paid for.…" 15:15 , with additional hundreds of thousands spent modifying the adjoining wall to hang Trump's own photos. The hosts also mock a limited-edition U.S. passport bearing Trump's photo that he described as saying 'Welcome, but be good' — language that appears nowhere on the document. Jon Lovett's response to all of it: he'd rather have Trump occupied with vanity tree projects than doing real damage, but the double standard is jarring — if Biden had wandered around discussing renovations in his final year, the right would have been calling for the 25th Amendment.
Claims made here
The new White House colonnade, made of polished African granite carved in Italy and which Trump claimed to have paid for himself, actually cost taxpayers approximately $690,000.
Trump's new White House colonnade, made of polished African granite carved in Italy, was claimed by Trump to have been personally paid for. The Atlantic revealed it cost taxpayers roughly $690,000. Add another couple hundred thousand for wall modifications to hang his pictures, and Americans are footing the bill for Trump's personal redecorating.
The new White House colonnade walkway made of polished African granite carved in Italy, which Trump claimed to have paid for himself, was actually charged to taxpayers at a cost of about $690,000.
Trump is planning to redesign Lafayette Park to contain exactly 47 maple trees — his favorite tree — to honor himself as the 47th president. Nobody knows how many trees are currently there, so someone has to go count them. Tommy Vietor put it simply: no narcissistic stone will go unturned by this man.
Chapter 8 · 24:20
Supreme Court: Independent Agencies Gutted — Trump Can Fire Almost Anyone
The biggest ruling of the term gets its full treatment here. In a 6-3 decision, the conservative Supreme Court majority reversed 91 years of precedent established in Humphrey's Executor and ruled that Trump can fire FTC Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter — and by extension, leaders of the SEC, Consumer Product Safety Commission, EEOC, NLRB, and other independent agencies — without any stated reason [1] — Tommy Vietor "The Supreme Court's 6-3 conservative majority reversed 91 years of precedent, ruling Trump can fire FTC commissioners and leaders of other …" 24:20 . Tommy Vietor explains the practical implication: the president can also simply strip agencies of their quorum, preventing them from meeting at all. The Federal Reserve gets a carve-out in a 5-4 decision — even the appearance of political pressure on monetary policy could destroy faith in the U.S. economy, the court reasoned — but Lisa Cook's job protection is precarious: the ruling said Trump simply didn't go through the proper process, and he can try again with stated cause. Jon Lovett makes the key structural argument: this isn't just expanding executive power, it's stealing power Congress explicitly delegated to these quasi-legislative and quasi-judicial bodies. The hosts debate whether a future Democratic president would benefit, with Lovett warning that Gorsuch's concurrence signals the court would just strike down agencies' powers entirely if a Democrat tried to use them. Jon Favreau's bottom line: as long as this Supreme Court majority holds, there are no independent agencies except potentially the Fed.
Claims made here
The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 that Trump can fire FTC Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter and other independent agency heads without cause, reversing 91 years of precedent.
In a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court ruled that Fed Governor Lisa Cook can remain on the job while litigation continues, because Trump did not meet the 'for cause' standard required by the Federal Reserve Act.
The Supreme Court's 6-3 conservative majority reversed 91 years of precedent, ruling Trump can fire FTC commissioners and leaders of other independent agencies without cause. The president can now paralyze these bodies by stripping their quorums. The Fed alone gets a carve-out — because even the appearance of political pressure on monetary policy could destroy economic faith.
The Supreme Court's 6-3 conservative majority reversed 91 years of precedent and ruled Trump can fire FTC commissioners and leaders of other independent agencies without cause.
The FTC wasn't just an executive agency — Congress delegated some of its own legislative and judicial authority to it. The Supreme Court's ruling doesn't just expand presidential power; it transfers power that Congress had explicitly granted away from the legislature. Sotomayor and Kagan's dissent makes this case forcefully.
Chapter 9 · 31:10
Mail-In Ballots Protected — For Now — in 5-4 Ruling
In a rare cross-ideological outcome, the Supreme Court voted 5-4 — with Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Amy Coney Barrett joining the three liberal justices — to uphold a Mississippi law allowing mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day to be counted even if they arrive after. The decision could preempt similar Republican legal challenges in at least 14 other states and protect existing policies in approximately 30 states [1] — Jon Favreau "In a 5-4 ruling where John Roberts and Amy Coney Barrett sided with the liberals, the Supreme Court upheld Mississippi's law counting mail-…" 31:10 . Trump responded on Truth Social by whining about the decision and name-dropping five Senate Republicans he wants to pressure into passing the SAVE Act, his voter registration proof-of-citizenship bill. Tommy Vietor praises the ruling as an important win for election integrity but warns it represents just one chip that didn't come undone in an ongoing, systematic Republican assault on voting rights.
Claims made here
The Supreme Court ruled 5-4 in favor of a Mississippi law allowing mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day to be counted even if they arrive after; the decision could preempt similar challenges in at least 14 other states.
In a 5-4 ruling where John Roberts and Amy Coney Barrett sided with the liberals, the Supreme Court upheld Mississippi's law counting mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day but received afterward. The decision protects similar policies in roughly 30 states. But as Tommy Vietor noted, the assault on voting rights will keep coming — this chip just didn't come undone.
The Supreme Court's 5-4 ruling upholding Mississippi's law counting postmarked-by-Election-Day mail-in ballots allows roughly 30 states to keep similar policies in place.
Chapter 10 · 32:20
Trump Yawns at the Housing Bill — Bipartisan Win Imperiled
The bipartisan housing bill to boost housing supply and affordability passed with overwhelming margins: 85 Senate votes, 358 House votes. Senate Majority Leader Mike Johnson sent it to Trump anyway, meaning it becomes law in 10 days unless Trump vetoes it. But Trump — apparently egged on by Bill Pulte — decided to hold it hostage to force passage of the SAVE Act, a voter registration bill with no meaningful fraud problem to solve and polling at only 52% support. Florida Representative Randy Fine encapsulated the MAGA caucus's logic: if Elizabeth Warren likes a bill, it must be bad, and besides, he didn't come to Washington to work with Democrats, he came to beat them [1] — Donald Trump "When I look at that bill, it's a bill. But when I look at the Save America Act, it's about saving America. To me, compared to the Save Amer…" 32:57 . Trump's audio was even more damning: he called the housing bill 'a big yawn' and said the SAVE Act was 'about saving America.' Jon Lovett mourned it as a rare bipartisan policymaking moment, 'like from another era,' with Elizabeth Warren, Republicans, and the White House all poised to celebrate — before Trump ripped the rug out at the one-yard line. The hosts predict Trump will ultimately let it become law without signing it, having thrown his tantrum, but the political damage to frontline House Republicans who were counting on it as a reelection asset may already be done.
Claims made here
The bipartisan housing bill passed with 85 votes in the Senate and 358 votes in the House.
The bipartisan housing bill passed with 85 Senate votes and 358 House votes, addressing a crisis that young voters care about intensely. Trump held it hostage over the SAVE Act — an election provision that polling shows barely registers with voters — and then dismissed the housing bill as 'a big yawn.' It may still become law without his signature.
The bipartisan housing bill passed with 85 votes in the Senate and 358 votes in the House, reflecting overwhelming bipartisan support for boosting housing supply and affordability.
Chapter 12 · 41:07
DSA Surge vs. Establishment: The Debate Inside the Democratic Party
The hosts play clips from Zohran Mamdani, Josh Shapiro, and Chris Murphy reacting to the DSA's New York primary wins. Gottheimer's blunt declaration — 'if you're a socialist, you are not a Democrat' — is the flashpoint. Tommy Vietor slots himself into the Murphy camp: the results reflect voters' rage at the establishment and status quo, not a wholesale shift toward socialism. Most DSA members, he argues, aren't Marxist-Leninists but are describing a worldview much closer to the UK Labour Party or Nordic social democracy than anything historically alarming — and the Scandinavians, notably, don't get attacked. Jon Lovett acknowledges that deeply liberal districts are entitled to elect whoever they want — that's what primaries are for — while noting that Josh Shapiro actually handled the tension well by disagreeing firmly without declaring anyone persona non grata. The hosts agree that Gottheimer's 'you're with us or against us' framing is counterproductive, and compare the current panic to the identical freakout when AOC beat Joe Crowley in 2018, after which the party went on to nominate Joe Biden [1] — Tommy Vietor "Tommy Vietor's read on the New York DSA primary wins: voters are angry and willing to trade powerful incumbents for something new to demons…" 42:10 . Jon Favreau adds that frontline Democrats in competitive districts should feel free to distance themselves clearly from DSA positions they find objectionable — Biden did exactly that on defund the police — without trying to purge anyone.
Tommy Vietor's read on the New York DSA primary wins: voters are angry and willing to trade powerful incumbents for something new to demonstrate that anger. But the mistake is assuming that translates everywhere. Most DSA members aren't Marxist-Leninists — they're closer to the UK Labour Party than to Soviet ideology. The fearmongering is the same as when AOC beat Joe Crowley in 2018, and the party still nominated Joe Biden.
Democratic voters in deeply blue districts get to choose whoever they want — that's what primaries are for. But winning a seat comes with responsibility. If Republicans weaponize your old tweets, you owe your coalition an explanation of who you are now. DSA members aren't to be expelled from the party, but they're also not exempt from scrutiny.
Chapter 14 · 52:35
Scott Wiener Heckled Out of Trans March — And It's Antisemitism
Jon Favreau sets the scene: Scott Wiener, the San Francisco state senator running for Nancy Pelosi's congressional seat, was surrounded and berated by hecklers at the city's annual Trans March. The protesters accused him of betraying queers through his Israel positions and told him he had 'stopped being queer' the moment he started supporting Israel. Wiener ultimately left because the confrontation became physically unsafe. The irony is acute: per his own website, Wiener has publicly called Israel's actions in Gaza a genocide (joining Bernie Sanders and Representative Balint as one of only three prominent Jewish elected officials to do so), never taken AIPAC money, voted no on military funding for Israel, and supports Palestinian statehood. Jon Lovett is direct [1] — Jon Favreau "San Francisco State Senator Scott Wiener — who publicly called Israel's actions in Gaza a genocide, never took AIPAC money, voted no on mil…" 52:45 : if you are following a Jewish elected official around a park yelling at him about his Zionist handlers because his position on Israel — which is that it committed a genocide — is insufficiently anti-Israel, then you are being an antisemite. Tommy Vietor adds that the people filming it make their own movement look bad, hand Fox News a forever clip about crazy Democrats, and achieved the opposite of their stated goal by making Wiener sympathetic. Jon Favreau says the right response from the broader left is to call it out — holding two ideas at once is entirely possible.
Claims made here
Scott Wiener has publicly called the Israeli government's action in Gaza genocide, never taken AIPAC money, voted no on military funding for Israel, and supports Palestinian statehood.
San Francisco State Senator Scott Wiener — who publicly called Israel's actions in Gaza a genocide, never took AIPAC money, voted no on military funding for Israel, and supports Palestinian statehood — was physically and verbally threatened by protesters at the city's annual Trans March. Jon Lovett called it plainly: following a Jewish elected official around because he's insufficiently anti-Israel is antisemitism.
San Francisco State Senator Scott Wiener, who was heckled at the Trans March, has called Israeli actions in Gaza genocide, never taken AIPAC money, voted no on military funding for Israel, and supports Palestinian statehood.
Chapter 15 · 58:08
Ad Break: Rocket Money & ThirdLove
Tommy Vietor reads for Rocket Money, sharing a relatable anecdote about unknowingly paying for a British streaming service for one episode before canceling. Rocket Money has saved users over $880 million in canceled subscriptions and offers real-time spending alerts, consolidated financial dashboards, and subscription tracking — join at rocketmoney.com/crooked. A ThirdLove ad follows, positioning the brand around comfort-first bra design for over 60 sizes including half cups unavailable elsewhere, with $15 off a first purchase using code PODCAST15.
Claims made here
Rocket Money has saved users over $880 million in canceled subscriptions.
Rocket Money has saved its users over $880 million in canceled subscriptions by tracking and helping cancel unwanted recurring charges.
Chapter 16 · 1:00:43
Interview: Heather Williams on the State Legislative Firewall for 2028
Jon Favreau welcomes Heather Williams, president of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, to the studio. He opens with a pointed question: if we get a contested presidential result in 2028, which chambers stand between a close call and a stolen election? Williams identifies the key battleground states — Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, Pennsylvania — as the places where winning legislative majorities in 2026 matters most for 2028 [1] — Heather Williams "Free meals for every kid in school — the kind of policy that puts money directly in working families' pockets — is a direct product of Demo…" 1:02:32 . She explains that the entire presidential certification process, along with voting laws and election administration, are state-level functions — more people understood this viscerally after 2020. She then grounds the abstract in something concrete: free school meals for every kid, which passed in Minnesota when Democrats held the trifecta and has since spread to multiple states, is her favorite example of what winning state legislative power actually delivers for working families.
Free meals for every kid in school — the kind of policy that puts money directly in working families' pockets — is a direct product of Democratic state legislative trifectas, starting with Minnesota. Heather Williams uses it as her go-to example of what winning at the state level concretely delivers for people's lives.
Chapter 17 · 1:03:50
The Map: 19 Seats, Six Majorities, Four Trifectas
Jon Favreau asks Williams to walk through the target map. She describes three tiers of opportunity: breaking Republican supermajorities in the South to put Democrats in the negotiating room; protecting Democratic governors' veto pens in Republican-controlled states; and building outright new majorities and trifectas in presidential battlegrounds. The headline number is striking: just 19 seats in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona would produce six new Democratic majorities and four new trifectas [1] — Heather Williams "Winning just 19 state legislative seats across four presidential battleground states — Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona — would …" 1:03:50 . She also flags the longer-term play — the South is growing, the 2030 Census reapportionment will create new congressional districts, and building Democratic infrastructure now in states like Georgia and North Carolina will pay dividends for a decade. Jon Favreau then asks what will be the chamber to watch on election night; Williams gives a personal answer (Minnesota, her home state) and a strategic one (Arizona, if Democrats are truly having an extraordinary year).
Claims made here
Winning just 19 state legislative seats in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona would build 6 new Democratic majorities and 4 new Democratic trifectas.
Winning just 19 state legislative seats across four presidential battleground states — Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona — would create six new Democratic majorities and four new Democratic trifectas heading into 2028. The numbers are achievable. The stakes are enormous: state legislatures control election certification, voting laws, and the entire presidential process.
Heather Williams said that winning just 19 state legislative seats in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona would build six new Democratic majorities and four new trifectas.
Chapter 18 · 1:07:42
Breaking Gerrymanders: Courts, Ballot Initiatives, and Never Walking Away
Jon Favreau surfaces a counterintuitive data point: in 2024, the Democratic side outspent the Republican State Leadership Committee by better than 3-to-1 — about $175 million to $49 million — and still lost the Minnesota trifecta and the Michigan House [1] — Jon Favreau "In 2024, Democrats outspent the Republican State Leadership Committee roughly $175 million to $49 million at the state legislative level — …" 1:07:42 . So if money isn't the constraint, what is? Williams identifies the 'attention battle': low-name-ID first-time candidates running for state legislature can't cut through in a crowded ballot environment no matter how much you spend on them. The fix requires running candidates as part of coordinated tickets with statewide races. On the harder question of gerrymandered states where legislative wins seem structurally impossible, she outlines three simultaneous strategies: never abandoning the minority caucus because those legislators still have some power, especially with a Democratic governor's veto; winning state Supreme Court races that can force map redraws (Wisconsin's turnaround is the model); and pursuing ballot initiatives to create nonpartisan redistricting commissions, as Michigan did through its People Not Politicians process.
Claims made here
In 2024, the Democratic side outspent the Republican State Leadership Committee at the state legislative level by roughly $175 million to $49 million — better than 3-to-1 — yet still lost the Minnesota trifecta and Michigan House.
In 2024, Democrats outspent the Republican State Leadership Committee roughly $175 million to $49 million at the state legislative level — a ratio of better than 3-to-1 — and still lost the Minnesota trifecta and the Michigan House. The problem isn't money; it's attention. Low-name-ID first-time candidates can't cut through in a crowded ballot environment no matter how much you spend.
In 2024, the Democratic side outspent the Republican State Leadership Committee roughly $175 million to $49 million at the state legislative level, yet still lost the Minnesota trifecta and Michigan House.
When Republicans gerrymander a state legislature, Democrats can't simply outspend their way to majorities. The playbook: keep your minority legislators fighting, win state Supreme Court seats to redraw maps, and use ballot initiatives to create nonpartisan redistricting commissions. Michigan's People Not Politicians process is the model.
Chapter 19 · 1:11:15
Recruiting Candidates and Why State Legislators Beat the National Brand
Jon Favreau asks about recruitment — specifically, how do you convince candidates to run in districts Republicans win by 20-30 points? Williams says she was most nervous about recruitment coming out of 2024, especially after the horrific assassination of Minnesota House Speaker Hortman. But the response was the opposite of what she feared: people are energized to run. Minnesota has a full slate in every district; Kansas has its biggest slate of candidates in 30 years. The candidates tend to be middle-class, first-time, ordinary people rather than made-for-TV politicians — and that's actually their superpower. They can knock the door of every voter in their district, they're never off duty at the grocery store or school drop-off, and they have a genuine personal story to tell. Williams then answers why these candidates routinely run ahead of the national party brand: they are masters of localization [1] — Heather Williams "The Democratic national brand is in the basement, yet state legislative Democrats routinely run ahead of it. The reason: they translate abs…" 1:11:15 . The infrastructure bill isn't an abstract number — it's the road that's going to be fixed in 20 minutes, cutting 40 minutes off your daily commute. Everything gets translated into neighborhood impact. That art form, she argues, is what separates them from national politics.
The Democratic national brand is in the basement, yet state legislative Democrats routinely run ahead of it. The reason: they translate abstract national policy into neighborhood-level impact. As Heather Williams explained, the infrastructure bill isn't about billions of dollars — it's about cutting 40 minutes off your daily commute.
Chapter 20 · 1:13:50
Get Involved: State Legislative Races as the Path Forward for Everyone
Jon Favreau asks his most direct question: what should a listener who's surrounded by Trumpy neighbors and sure Democrats have no shot do right now? Williams doesn't hedge: get involved in your state legislative race. It will broaden your view of your neighbors, open conversations that move the needle, and give you a concrete outlet for the energy that otherwise just turns into despair [1] — Heather Williams "For Democrats living in deep-red areas who feel hopeless, Heather Williams has a direct prescription: get involved in your state legislativ…" 1:13:50 . These races are run on the margins, and direct voter contact by candidates and the volunteers around them is the most powerful persuasion tool available. She notes that the conversation is craved even across political lines — disillusioned Republicans who no longer feel at home in Trump's party are reachable in ways national politics can't access. Jon Favreau closes the interview noting the DLCC has already flipped 30 seats this cycle in some ruby-red districts, and Williams projects that a +4 environment could translate to 600+ flipped seats nationally in 2026.
Claims made here
The DLCC has already flipped 30 state legislative seats in the current cycle, including some in ruby red districts.
For Democrats living in deep-red areas who feel hopeless, Heather Williams has a direct prescription: get involved in your state legislative race. These candidates need volunteers, and the conversations they enable — with disillusioned Republicans, with neighbors across the divide — are exactly the kind that move votes. You can't win what you don't contest.
The DLCC has already flipped 30 state legislative seats this cycle, including some in ruby red districts, demonstrating early momentum for Democrats.
Chapter 21 · 1:15:25
Closing: Outro and Credits
Jon Favreau closes the episode with a brief thanks to Heather Williams for stopping by the studio, and notes that he and Dan will return with a new episode on Friday. The credits roll: Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production, produced by Austin Phillips, Saul Rubin, McKenna Roberts, and Faris Safary, with the full production team listed. The hosts note proudly that the staff is unionized with the Writers Guild of America East.
Claims made here
In a current environment polling at roughly +4 for Democrats, the party could flip more than 600 state legislative seats in 2026.
Arizona's political transformation has been remarkable: two Democratic senators, Katie Hobbs as governor, and now both chambers of the state legislature are competitive targets for 2026. Heather Williams called it a sign that 'big things are happening' — and that 2026 could be the year Democrats complete the conversion.
Current polling shows roughly a +4 Democratic environment at the state legislative level, which in Heather Williams' projection would translate to more than 600 flipped seats nationally. The DLCC has already flipped 30 seats this cycle, including some in ruby-red districts. The math is there — if Democrats show up.
Heather Williams said that in a +4 Democratic environment — which current polling suggests — Democrats could flip more than 600 state legislative seats nationally in 2026.
No indexed bits in this chapter.
Show stoppers
Snapshots ()
Key Quotes ()
This episode
Cast
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San Francisco State Senator running for Nancy Pelosi's congressional seat who was physically threatened by protesters at the Trans March despite holding strongly pro-Palestinian positions.
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President of the DLCC, who appeared on the show to discuss the strategy for building Democratic state legislative majorities and protecting the 2028 election.
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Federal Reserve Governor accused by Trump and Bill Pulte of mortgage fraud; a 5-4 Supreme Court ruling allowed her to remain on the job while litigation continues.
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DSA-backed New York City mayoral candidate whose primary victory and endorsements sparked the national debate about the direction of the Democratic Party.
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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez cited as an example of a progressive who successfully learned the responsibilities of office and who offered measured commentary on new DSA-backed candidates.
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Referenced as an example of democratic socialism that is closer to Nordic social democracy than Marxism, and as someone who successfully helped unite the Democratic Party around Biden in 2020.
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Accused Lisa Cook of mortgage fraud in his capacity as FHFA director, and continued attacking her after becoming acting Director of National Intelligence — behavior the hosts called chilling.
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Trump was ordered to pay Carroll $5 million after the Supreme Court declined to throw out the 2023 jury verdict finding him liable for sexual abuse and defamation.
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New Jersey Democratic congressman who said 'if you're a socialist, you are not a Democrat,' a statement criticized by all three hosts as counterproductive.
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FTC Commissioner who brought the case against her firing; lost 6-3 at the Supreme Court, which ruled the president can remove FTC commissioners without cause.
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Handed down several major rulings closing out its term, including reversing 91 years of FTC precedent and upholding Mississippi's mail-in ballot law.
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The organization led by guest Heather Williams focused on building Democratic majorities in state legislatures, with a 2026 strategy centered on winning 19 key seats.
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The FTC's leadership was stripped of its independence by a 6-3 Supreme Court ruling reversing 91 years of precedent, allowing the president to fire commissioners at will.
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The Fed was carved out as a special exception to the Supreme Court's ruling on independent agencies, with Lisa Cook allowed to keep her seat while litigation continues.
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Trump's voter registration proof-of-citizenship bill that he threatened to hold the bipartisan housing bill hostage over, despite it having little chance of passing and polling at only 52% support.
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The Trump-created entity that took over America's 250th anniversary celebrations, replacing the bipartisan America 250, with limited financial transparency and corporate sponsors.
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The bipartisan, congressionally-created organization originally tasked with planning America's 250th anniversary, sidelined by Trump in favor of Freedom 250.
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A top DLCC target in 2026 after Democrats lost the trifecta; also the state where free school meals first passed under a Democratic trifecta, and where Speaker Hortman was assassinated.
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Used as the key example of a state where Republican gerrymandering of the state legislature was ultimately overcome through state Supreme Court elections rather than direct legislative wins.
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Highlighted as a surprise top DLCC target for 2026, having shifted dramatically toward Democrats with two senators and a governor, with the state legislature now genuinely competitive.
Stats
This episode
Claims & Sources
Factual claims made this episode, and whether a source was named.
Trump's Great American State Fair is a 16-day exposition running through July 10th to celebrate America's 250th birthday.
Donors who contribute $1 million or more to Freedom 250 can secure an invitation to a private reception hosted by Trump himself.
The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 that Trump can fire FTC Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter and other independent agency heads without cause, reversing 91 years of precedent.
In a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court ruled that Fed Governor Lisa Cook can remain on the job while litigation continues, because Trump did not meet the 'for cause' standard required by the Federal Reserve Act.
The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 that the Fourth Amendment covers cell phone location history even when stored by a third party like Google or Apple, meaning police need a specific warrant rather than a broad geofence warrant.
The Supreme Court ruled 5-4 in favor of a Mississippi law allowing mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day to be counted even if they arrive after; the decision could preempt similar challenges in at least 14 other states.
The bipartisan housing bill passed with 85 votes in the Senate and 358 votes in the House.
Trump had already transferred $5.5 million to a court-controlled account in 2023 in connection with the E. Jean Carroll verdict, and the Supreme Court's refusal to throw out the verdict means Carroll will receive the $5 million.
The new White House colonnade, made of polished African granite carved in Italy and which Trump claimed to have paid for himself, actually cost taxpayers approximately $690,000.
Google has changed its policy so that location data is now stored on a user's phone rather than on company servers, in anticipation of the Supreme Court's geofencing ruling.
In 2024, the Democratic side outspent the Republican State Leadership Committee at the state legislative level by roughly $175 million to $49 million — better than 3-to-1 — yet still lost the Minnesota trifecta and Michigan House.
Winning just 19 state legislative seats in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona would build 6 new Democratic majorities and 4 new Democratic trifectas.
The DLCC has already flipped 30 state legislative seats in the current cycle, including some in ruby red districts.
In a current environment polling at roughly +4 for Democrats, the party could flip more than 600 state legislative seats in 2026.
Scott Wiener has publicly called the Israeli government's action in Gaza genocide, never taken AIPAC money, voted no on military funding for Israel, and supports Palestinian statehood.
Rocket Money has saved users over $880 million in canceled subscriptions.