Ep. 2457 - WHAT COMES NEXT After Awful SCOTUS Ruling?

Ep. 2457 - WHAT COMES NEXT After Awful SCOTUS Ruling?

The Supreme Court's birthright citizenship ruling was legally wrong but changes nothing already on the books — Congress and the executive still have all the tools needed to fix mass immigration.

Jul 1, 2026 57:56 Difficulty: Intermediate Played

TL;DR

The Supreme Court's 6-3 decision upholding birthright citizenship is called legally wrong, but Ben Shapiro argues it is not the end of the road for immigration reform. He walks through the full history of U.S. immigration policy — from the 1965 Immigration and Nationality Act to welfare expansion and court rulings like Plyler v. Doe — to show that elected branches, not judges, caused the crisis. Practical solutions remain: executive enforcement, welfare-benefit removal, visa crackdowns, and targeted legislation. Democrats' continued leftward drift in Colorado primaries and confusion over manhood round out the episode.

#birthright citizenship #14th Amendment #immigration enforcement #1965 Immigration Act #birth tourism #sanctuary cities #welfare and immigration #Colorado Democratic primaries #progressive Democrats #Bernie Sanders socialism #transgender sports ruling #masculinity politics #SCOTUS decisions #midterm elections 2026 #national security immigration #SCOTUS #immigration policy #welfare state #border enforcement #Colorado primaries #Bernie Sanders #Plyler v. Doe #Tom Homan #deportation #masculinity

After the Supreme Court upholds birthright citizenship, Ben Shapiro discusses what can be done about mass migration, reviews radical socialist wins in Colorado Democratic primaries, and responds to the left's latest takes on manhood.

Chapter list
  • The episode opens cold with a trio of sponsor segments before any editorial content. First up is NetSuite Next, billed as an AI-powered business suite that connects all company data into a single source of truth for over 43,000 customers — free trial available at netsuite.ai/shapiro for seven-figure revenue businesses. Next, Blinds.com is pitched as the antidote to the painful, salesperson-dominated home window treatment experience, offering online custom orders, virtual design consultations, and a 100% satisfaction guarantee — listeners get $50 off $500+ with code Shapiro. Finally, CookUnity is introduced as a chef-led meal delivery service using Michelin-starred and James Beard-winning chefs cooking in local micro-kitchens, never factories, with 50% off the first order at cookunity.com/BEN.

  • Ben Shapiro opens the editorial portion by directing listeners to his previous day's full 1.5-hour breakdown, then summarizes the key finding: a 6-3 ruling (effectively 5-4 given Kavanaugh's quibbles) that the 14th Amendment's Citizenship Clause grants citizenship to virtually anyone born on US soil. The legal hinge is four words — 'subject to the jurisdiction thereof' — which the majority treated as largely superfluous, grounding their reasoning in pre-revolutionary British jus soli doctrine. Shapiro contrasts this with the Thomas-Alito dissent, which argued citizenship requires domicile in the US and that parents cannot owe allegiance to a foreign power. He notes a significant implication: the ruling effectively shields not just 4.6 million US-born children of illegal immigrants but potentially 4.2 million of their parents from deportation as well. Shapiro declares the majority opinion clearly wrong and historically dishonest, setting the stage for his argument that the real solutions lie elsewhere.

  • The political reaction clips come rapid-fire. Tom Homan frames Chinese birth tourism as one of America's biggest national security threats — children born in the US, raised under CCP education, could return as citizens eligible for high office. Speaker Mike Johnson calls birthright citizenship 'grossly abused.' Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson celebrates the ruling as proof citizenship isn't determined by race or ancestry, representing a coalition of 106 jurisdictions. The sharpest exchange comes from Hasan Piker, who called the potential rollback a 'modern Nuremberg race laws moment,' which Shapiro mocks as historically ignorant coming from someone he describes as a 'Cartier communist' who grew up in Turkey. The segment establishes the political fault lines before Shapiro pivots to his central argument: the courts aren't the real problem.

  • This is the analytical heart of the episode. Shapiro walks through immigration data chart by chart: in 1850, the top five foreign-born populations were Ireland, Germany, UK, Canada, and France; by 1910, Italy and Russia had entered the mix; by 1990, Mexico dominated at 4.26 million with the Philippines second at 910,000. The immigrant share of the US population peaked near 15% in 1890, fell to 4.7% in 1970 following restrictive legislation, and has now climbed back to 14%. Shapiro's argument is cultural and structural: early immigrants came without welfare, self-selecting for ambition and willingness to assimilate. Once welfare was added and the 1965 Immigration Act scrapped national-origin quotas, the incentive structure changed fundamentally. He invokes his own great-great-grandparents — Yiddish-speaking immigrants who rapidly assimilated because there was no alternative — to illustrate the difference. The segment builds to the 'free donut shop' analogy: welfare transformed America from a self-selecting high-achievement destination to a benefits magnet drawing a structurally different population.

  • The legislative and judicial history builds toward a grim picture. The 1965 Immigration and Nationality Act, Shapiro explains, didn't just shift national-origin demographics — it created a 7-tier family reunification preference system and capped Western Hemisphere immigration without providing a guest worker program, directly spawning mass illegal crossings. Reagan's 1986 EMTALA law required hospitals to treat anyone in their ER regardless of citizenship, which in practice turned emergency rooms into general healthcare access points for illegal immigrants. Plyler v. Doe (1982) mandated free K-12 schooling for undocumented children. Graham v. Richardson (1971) struck down restrictions on welfare access for short-term visa holders. The cumulative result: tens of thousands of dollars in annual benefits available to anyone who crosses the border, creating a welfare-magnet dynamic Shapiro argues is the structural root of the crisis — not the birthright citizenship ruling.

  • Shapiro pivots to an enthusiastic endorsement of PureTalk, the only US wireless company to receive five stars across all categories from Consumer Reports — coverage, customer support, value, and data. He emphasizes there are no contracts or cancellation fees, all customer service is US-based, and the company is running a dollar-for-dollar donation match up to $250,000 for America's Warrior Partnership, a veterans' support organization. Listeners are directed to puretalk.com/shapiro.

  • This is the constructive pivot the episode has been building toward. Shapiro identifies two master levers: enforce immigration law (executive's job) and eliminate welfare access for illegal immigrants (legislature and judiciary's job). About 50% of illegal immigrants entered legally on temporary visas and overstayed — a straightforward enforcement problem requiring no new law. The DOJ issued a memo just yesterday on prosecuting birth tourism schemes. Travel regulations could be amended to deny long visas to women in late pregnancy. On the judicial front, Shapiro argues the current Supreme Court would likely overturn Plyler v. Doe, removing the constitutional guarantee of free K-12 schooling for undocumented children — a massive pull factor. He also quotes Kavanaugh's concurrence noting Congress could constitutionally legislate exceptions to birthright citizenship without a constitutional amendment, leaving that door open as well.

  • With his wife near her due date, Shapiro delivers a personal and emotionally resonant read for PreBorn!, arguing that the baby in the womb is the same human being that will emerge at birth. The pitch asks listeners to donate $28 to sponsor a life-saving ultrasound, noting that a mother who hears a heartbeat for the first time is twice as likely to choose life. A special $250 donation is suggested in honor of America's 250th birthday. All gifts are tax-deductible and can be made at preborn.com/shapiro or by dialing #250BABY.

  • The segment opens with a sharp juxtaposition: Democrats are celebrating the birthright ruling while the mother of a murder victim testifies to Congress about its real human cost. Jessica Gorman's daughter Sheridan was killed by an illegal immigrant protected by Chicago's sanctuary city policies. When Rep. Pramila Jayapal noted wearily that this was 'the fourth time' such a hearing had been held, Gorman responded with searing directness: 'When your child is in a coffin, there is no but.' Rep. Mike Lawler then tangled with Rep. Jamie Raskin for giving short shrift to Gorman's testimony while invoking progressive crime victims. Shapiro also highlights Ezra Klein conceding to Chris Rufo on the New York Times that concerns about rapid demographic change are not racist — noting it describes the majority of the country — and argues Democrats are making a political mistake by pretending otherwise.

  • Shapiro pivots briefly to the other major SCOTUS decision of the day: the court ruled that biological males cannot compete in girls' or women's sports in public schools and colleges. The ruling itself is described as unsurprising given how oral arguments went. What draws Shapiro's fire is the media coverage. NBC's Craig Melvin aired a note explaining the network was using the terms 'biological male' and 'biological female' only because the court used them, implying the terms are problematic. CNN's Laura Coates went further, calling women's sports 'so-called girls' sports' — a linguistic contortion Shapiro finds both absurd and revealing. He argues this reflexive deference to gender ideology will continue to dog the left politically.

  • The political obituaries roll in. Bernie Sanders, describing his two-front progressive strategy, literally invokes killing kulaks and Mensheviks as metaphors — Shapiro can barely contain himself. In Colorado, Milot Kiros — born in Ethiopia, fired from Sidley Austin for pro-Hamas activity, and on record calling 9/11 'inevitable' — defeated Diana DeGette, a 15-term incumbent, in the Democratic primary. Progressive Manny Rutinal won a swing district primary over a moderate, and Senator Michael Bennet lost the governor's race to far-left attorney general Phil Weiser. Shapiro acknowledges these could be bad candidates the way Republicans had bad candidates in 2022 Senate races, but notes that polls in Maine show GOP-leaning Collins losing to a candidate named Graham Plattner by 2 points in a district that went 11 for Harris — suggesting Plattner is badly underrunning his baseline. Meanwhile the RNC has $125 million cash versus the DNC's -$3.5 million.

  • The episode's closing stretch covers several lighter but revealing topics. Marjorie Taylor Greene appeared on Piers Morgan's show to announce she is working toward launching a new America-focused party, acknowledging it would take years to develop but framing it as a necessary alternative to both parties — Shapiro sees it as splinter-faction mischief. Vox published a piece declaring New York City politician Zohran Mamdani the Democrats' new masculine icon on the basis of marathon-running, beard-growing, and Knicks fandom; Shapiro counters that Mamdani has no children, lives off wealthy parents, and marches in both Pakistan Day and Pride parades — hardly a model of masculinity. Shapiro then briefly mocks an Iranian government official criticizing the US for its treatment of Iran at the World Cup before noting that Kalshi markets have the US at 83% to advance past Bosnia, with a favorable bracket ahead through Belgium and likely Spain.

jus soli
Latin for 'law of the soil'; the legal principle that a person's citizenship is determined by the country in which they are born, regardless of their parents' nationality.
jus sanguinis
Latin for 'law of blood'; citizenship determined by the nationality of one's parents rather than place of birth — the alternative principle to jus soli.
domicile
In immigration and citizenship law, the country or jurisdiction that a person treats as their permanent home, implying a lasting legal connection beyond mere physical presence.
Citizenship Clause
The opening sentence of the 14th Amendment: 'All persons born or naturalized in the United States and subject to the jurisdiction thereof are citizens of the United States.'
Plyler v. Doe
A 1982 Supreme Court 5-4 ruling that states cannot deny free public K-12 education to undocumented immigrant children, based on the 14th Amendment's Equal Protection Clause.
EMTALA
Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act (1986); requires Medicare-participating hospitals to provide emergency screening and stabilizing treatment to all patients regardless of citizenship or ability to pay.
Chinese Exclusion Act
An 1882 federal law that barred Chinese laborers from entering the United States for 10 years and later barred Chinese immigrants from naturalization entirely.
National Origins Act
The Immigration Act of 1924 that tightened immigration quotas to heavily favor Northern and Western Europeans while virtually banning immigration from Asia.
Graham v. Richardson
A 1971 Supreme Court ruling that struck down state laws restricting welfare benefits solely to US citizens or long-term legal residents.
Arizona v. United States
A 2012 Supreme Court ruling that federal immigration law preempts state laws that attempt to independently enforce immigration statutes, nullifying key Arizona enforcement provisions.
sanctuary city
A jurisdiction that limits its cooperation with federal immigration enforcement, generally by refusing to detain individuals solely based on their immigration status.
blackpilling
Internet slang for adopting a fatalistic, hopeless worldview after a perceived defeat, leading to political disengagement; used here to describe conservatives giving up after the SCOTUS ruling.
kulaks
Historically, prosperous peasant farmers in the Soviet Union who were targeted for elimination by Stalin's collectivization campaign; invoked by Bernie Sanders as a rhetorical metaphor.
Mensheviks
The moderate faction of the Russian Social Democratic Labour Party that lost out to the Bolsheviks in the 1917 revolution; invoked by Bernie Sanders as a metaphor for establishment Democrats.
birth tourism
The practice of traveling to another country specifically to give birth there so the child will acquire that country's citizenship by jus soli.
filibuster
A Senate procedure that requires 60 votes to end debate and proceed to a vote on legislation, effectively giving the minority party a blocking tool on most bills.
concurrence/dissent
A judicial opinion where a justice agrees with part of a ruling but disagrees with another part, as Justice Kavanaugh did here by joining the majority while writing separately on legislative fixes.
supercilious
Behaving or looking as though one thinks oneself superior to others; used implicitly in Shapiro's characterization of progressive politicians' dismissiveness toward crime victims.
ambulatory
Able to walk; used by Ben Shapiro sarcastically as 'ambulatory psychotics' to describe far-left Democratic primary winners, playing on the word's medical connotation.

Chapter 2 · 13:05

SCOTUS Birthright Citizenship Ruling: What the Court Actually Decided

Ben Shapiro opens the editorial portion by directing listeners to his previous day's full 1.5-hour breakdown, then summarizes the key finding: a 6-3 ruling (effectively 5-4 given Kavanaugh's quibbles) that the 14th Amendment's Citizenship Clause grants citizenship to virtually anyone born on US soil. The legal hinge is four words — 'subject to the jurisdiction thereof' — which the majority treated as largely superfluous, grounding their reasoning in pre-revolutionary British jus soli doctrine. Shapiro contrasts this with the Thomas-Alito dissent, which argued citizenship requires domicile in the US and that parents cannot owe allegiance to a foreign power. He notes a significant implication: the ruling effectively shields not just 4.6 million US-born children of illegal immigrants but potentially 4.2 million of their parents from deportation as well. Shapiro declares the majority opinion clearly wrong and historically dishonest, setting the stage for his argument that the real solutions lie elsewhere.

Claims made here

The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 to uphold birthright citizenship, with Justice Kavanaugh expressing reservations about the majority position.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

There are approximately 4.6 million US-born children of illegal immigrants currently in the country, with roughly 4.2 million illegal immigrant parents.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

A Pew study found that nearly 1 in 10 births in the US in 2023 was to an illegal immigrant mother, totaling about 320,000 babies per year.

Ben Shapiro Pew Research Center study of American births in 2023

Government
Data point 6-3

Ep. 2457 - WHAT COMES NEXT After Awful SCOTUS Ruling? · Jul 1, 2026

The Supreme Court upheld birthright citizenship in a 6-3 decision, with Justice Kavanaugh providing a fifth vote for the majority while expressing reservations.

Government
Data point 4.6M

Ep. 2457 - WHAT COMES NEXT After Awful SCOTUS Ruling? · Jul 1, 2026

There are approximately 4.6 million U.S.-born children of illegal immigrants currently in the country, with roughly 4.2 million illegal immigrant parents effectively shielded from deportation.

Chapter 3 · 18:05

Political Reactions: Trump, Homan, Chicago Mayor, and Hasan Piker

The political reaction clips come rapid-fire. Tom Homan frames Chinese birth tourism as one of America's biggest national security threats — children born in the US, raised under CCP education, could return as citizens eligible for high office. Speaker Mike Johnson calls birthright citizenship 'grossly abused.' Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson celebrates the ruling as proof citizenship isn't determined by race or ancestry, representing a coalition of 106 jurisdictions. The sharpest exchange comes from Hasan Piker, who called the potential rollback a 'modern Nuremberg race laws moment,' which Shapiro mocks as historically ignorant coming from someone he describes as a 'Cartier communist' who grew up in Turkey. The segment establishes the political fault lines before Shapiro pivots to his central argument: the courts aren't the real problem.

Claims made here

If the Supreme Court had ruled against birthright citizenship, approximately 260,000 of the 320,000 annual births to illegal immigrant mothers would not have qualified for citizenship.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

The number of births to illegal immigrant mothers in the US tripled from about 120,000 in 1990 to a peak of about 380,000 in 2006.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

Chapter 4 · 22:50

The Real History of How American Immigration Broke Down

This is the analytical heart of the episode. Shapiro walks through immigration data chart by chart: in 1850, the top five foreign-born populations were Ireland, Germany, UK, Canada, and France; by 1910, Italy and Russia had entered the mix; by 1990, Mexico dominated at 4.26 million with the Philippines second at 910,000. The immigrant share of the US population peaked near 15% in 1890, fell to 4.7% in 1970 following restrictive legislation, and has now climbed back to 14%. Shapiro's argument is cultural and structural: early immigrants came without welfare, self-selecting for ambition and willingness to assimilate. Once welfare was added and the 1965 Immigration Act scrapped national-origin quotas, the incentive structure changed fundamentally. He invokes his own great-great-grandparents — Yiddish-speaking immigrants who rapidly assimilated because there was no alternative — to illustrate the difference. The segment builds to the 'free donut shop' analogy: welfare transformed America from a self-selecting high-achievement destination to a benefits magnet drawing a structurally different population.

Claims made here

The immigrant share of the US population fell from approximately 15% in 1890 to 4.7% in 1970, then rose back to about 14% as of 2022.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

As of 2022, Mexico was the top source of foreign-born US residents with 10.6 million, followed by India (2.83M), China (2.23M), Philippines (2.01M), and El Salvador (1.42M).

Ben Shapiro no source cited

Society & Culture
The Free Donut Shop: Why Welfare Changed Immigration Forever

Ep. 2457 - WHAT COMES NEXT After Awful SCOTUS Ruling? · Jul 1, 2026 Society & Culture

When there was no welfare, immigration self-selected for risk-takers who wanted to build. Add a welfare state and you change who shows up. The Michelin-star bakery gets a different clientele than the shop with 'free donuts' in the window — and the incentive structure of American immigration flipped in 1965.

Chapter 5 · 38:10

The 1965 Immigration Act and the Supreme Court Rulings That Made It Worse

The legislative and judicial history builds toward a grim picture. The 1965 Immigration and Nationality Act, Shapiro explains, didn't just shift national-origin demographics — it created a 7-tier family reunification preference system and capped Western Hemisphere immigration without providing a guest worker program, directly spawning mass illegal crossings. Reagan's 1986 EMTALA law required hospitals to treat anyone in their ER regardless of citizenship, which in practice turned emergency rooms into general healthcare access points for illegal immigrants. Plyler v. Doe (1982) mandated free K-12 schooling for undocumented children. Graham v. Richardson (1971) struck down restrictions on welfare access for short-term visa holders. The cumulative result: tens of thousands of dollars in annual benefits available to anyone who crosses the border, creating a welfare-magnet dynamic Shapiro argues is the structural root of the crisis — not the birthright citizenship ruling.

Claims made here

The 1965 Immigration and Nationality Act, pushed by Ted Kennedy and LBJ, repealed the national-origin quota system and created a 7-tier family reunification preference system.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

Plyler v. Doe (1982) was a 5-4 Supreme Court ruling that struck down a Texas law barring illegal immigrant children from free public K-12 education, citing the 14th Amendment's Equal Protection Clause.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

The Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act (1986), signed by Ronald Reagan, requires hospitals with Medicare emergency rooms to provide medical screening and stabilizing treatment to all patients regardless of citizenship or ability to pay.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

Chapter 6 · 47:10

PureTalk Sponsor Read

Shapiro pivots to an enthusiastic endorsement of PureTalk, the only US wireless company to receive five stars across all categories from Consumer Reports — coverage, customer support, value, and data. He emphasizes there are no contracts or cancellation fees, all customer service is US-based, and the company is running a dollar-for-dollar donation match up to $250,000 for America's Warrior Partnership, a veterans' support organization. Listeners are directed to puretalk.com/shapiro.

Chapter 7 · 47:50

What Can Actually Be Done: The Immigration Policy Toolbox

This is the constructive pivot the episode has been building toward. Shapiro identifies two master levers: enforce immigration law (executive's job) and eliminate welfare access for illegal immigrants (legislature and judiciary's job). About 50% of illegal immigrants entered legally on temporary visas and overstayed — a straightforward enforcement problem requiring no new law. The DOJ issued a memo just yesterday on prosecuting birth tourism schemes. Travel regulations could be amended to deny long visas to women in late pregnancy. On the judicial front, Shapiro argues the current Supreme Court would likely overturn Plyler v. Doe, removing the constitutional guarantee of free K-12 schooling for undocumented children — a massive pull factor. He also quotes Kavanaugh's concurrence noting Congress could constitutionally legislate exceptions to birthright citizenship without a constitutional amendment, leaving that door open as well.

Claims made here

About 50% of all illegal immigrants in the US did not cross the southern border but entered on temporary visas and overstayed.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

Government
The Practical Immigration Fixes That Don't Require a Constitutional Amendment

Ep. 2457 - WHAT COMES NEXT After Awful SCOTUS Ruling? · Jul 1, 2026 Government

About 50% of illegal immigrants enter legally and overstay visas. You can enforce that without Congress. You can criminalize birth tourism networks via DOJ memo. You can restrict third-trimester travel visas. And this Supreme Court would likely overturn Plyler v. Doe, stripping illegal immigrants' children of free public schooling.

Chapter 9 · 51:40

Democrats Celebrate, Crime Victims Testify: The Human Cost of Sanctuary Cities

The segment opens with a sharp juxtaposition: Democrats are celebrating the birthright ruling while the mother of a murder victim testifies to Congress about its real human cost. Jessica Gorman's daughter Sheridan was killed by an illegal immigrant protected by Chicago's sanctuary city policies. When Rep. Pramila Jayapal noted wearily that this was 'the fourth time' such a hearing had been held, Gorman responded with searing directness: 'When your child is in a coffin, there is no but.' Rep. Mike Lawler then tangled with Rep. Jamie Raskin for giving short shrift to Gorman's testimony while invoking progressive crime victims. Shapiro also highlights Ezra Klein conceding to Chris Rufo on the New York Times that concerns about rapid demographic change are not racist — noting it describes the majority of the country — and argues Democrats are making a political mistake by pretending otherwise.

Chapter 10 · 54:20

SCOTUS Transgender Sports Ruling and Media's Language Games

Shapiro pivots briefly to the other major SCOTUS decision of the day: the court ruled that biological males cannot compete in girls' or women's sports in public schools and colleges. The ruling itself is described as unsurprising given how oral arguments went. What draws Shapiro's fire is the media coverage. NBC's Craig Melvin aired a note explaining the network was using the terms 'biological male' and 'biological female' only because the court used them, implying the terms are problematic. CNN's Laura Coates went further, calling women's sports 'so-called girls' sports' — a linguistic contortion Shapiro finds both absurd and revealing. He argues this reflexive deference to gender ideology will continue to dog the left politically.

Chapter 11 · 56:15

Democratic Party Implosion: Bernie Sanders, Colorado Primaries, and Radical Wins

The political obituaries roll in. Bernie Sanders, describing his two-front progressive strategy, literally invokes killing kulaks and Mensheviks as metaphors — Shapiro can barely contain himself. In Colorado, Milot Kiros — born in Ethiopia, fired from Sidley Austin for pro-Hamas activity, and on record calling 9/11 'inevitable' — defeated Diana DeGette, a 15-term incumbent, in the Democratic primary. Progressive Manny Rutinal won a swing district primary over a moderate, and Senator Michael Bennet lost the governor's race to far-left attorney general Phil Weiser. Shapiro acknowledges these could be bad candidates the way Republicans had bad candidates in 2022 Senate races, but notes that polls in Maine show GOP-leaning Collins losing to a candidate named Graham Plattner by 2 points in a district that went 11 for Harris — suggesting Plattner is badly underrunning his baseline. Meanwhile the RNC has $125 million cash versus the DNC's -$3.5 million.

Claims made here

The RNC had $125 million cash on hand while the DNC was $3.5 million in debt as of the reporting period.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

A New York Times/Siena poll showed James Talarico and Ken Paxton in a dead heat at 47% each in Texas.

Ben Shapiro New York Times/Siena poll

Graham Plattner leads Susan Collins by 2 points in a Maine district that voted 11 points for Kamala Harris, according to a New York Times poll.

Ben Shapiro New York Times poll

News
Data point 2%

Ep. 2457 - WHAT COMES NEXT After Awful SCOTUS Ruling? · Jul 1, 2026

A New York Times/Siena poll showed Nazi-tattoo candidate Graham Plattner leading Maine Senator Susan Collins by 2 points, within the margin of error, in a district that went +11 for Kamala Harris.

Chapter 12 · 58:40

Marjorie Taylor Greene's Third-Party Ambitions and World Cup Update

The episode's closing stretch covers several lighter but revealing topics. Marjorie Taylor Greene appeared on Piers Morgan's show to announce she is working toward launching a new America-focused party, acknowledging it would take years to develop but framing it as a necessary alternative to both parties — Shapiro sees it as splinter-faction mischief. Vox published a piece declaring New York City politician Zohran Mamdani the Democrats' new masculine icon on the basis of marathon-running, beard-growing, and Knicks fandom; Shapiro counters that Mamdani has no children, lives off wealthy parents, and marches in both Pakistan Day and Pride parades — hardly a model of masculinity. Shapiro then briefly mocks an Iranian government official criticizing the US for its treatment of Iran at the World Cup before noting that Kalshi markets have the US at 83% to advance past Bosnia, with a favorable bracket ahead through Belgium and likely Spain.

Claims made here

Kalshi prediction markets showed the US as an 83% favorite to advance past Bosnia and Herzegovina in the 2026 World Cup.

Ben Shapiro Kalshi prediction markets

No indexed bits in this chapter.

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Claims & Sources

4 / 15 cited (27%)

Factual claims made this episode, and whether a source was named.

The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 to uphold birthright citizenship, with Justice Kavanaugh expressing reservations about the majority position.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

There are approximately 4.6 million US-born children of illegal immigrants currently in the country, with roughly 4.2 million illegal immigrant parents.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

A Pew study found that nearly 1 in 10 births in the US in 2023 was to an illegal immigrant mother, totaling about 320,000 babies per year.

Ben Shapiro Pew Research Center study of American births in 2023

If the Supreme Court had ruled against birthright citizenship, approximately 260,000 of the 320,000 annual births to illegal immigrant mothers would not have qualified for citizenship.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

The number of births to illegal immigrant mothers in the US tripled from about 120,000 in 1990 to a peak of about 380,000 in 2006.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

The immigrant share of the US population fell from approximately 15% in 1890 to 4.7% in 1970, then rose back to about 14% as of 2022.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

As of 2022, Mexico was the top source of foreign-born US residents with 10.6 million, followed by India (2.83M), China (2.23M), Philippines (2.01M), and El Salvador (1.42M).

Ben Shapiro no source cited

About 50% of all illegal immigrants in the US did not cross the southern border but entered on temporary visas and overstayed.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

The 1965 Immigration and Nationality Act, pushed by Ted Kennedy and LBJ, repealed the national-origin quota system and created a 7-tier family reunification preference system.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

The Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act (1986), signed by Ronald Reagan, requires hospitals with Medicare emergency rooms to provide medical screening and stabilizing treatment to all patients regardless of citizenship or ability to pay.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

Plyler v. Doe (1982) was a 5-4 Supreme Court ruling that struck down a Texas law barring illegal immigrant children from free public K-12 education, citing the 14th Amendment's Equal Protection Clause.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

The RNC had $125 million cash on hand while the DNC was $3.5 million in debt as of the reporting period.

Ben Shapiro no source cited

Kalshi prediction markets showed the US as an 83% favorite to advance past Bosnia and Herzegovina in the 2026 World Cup.

Ben Shapiro Kalshi prediction markets

A New York Times/Siena poll showed James Talarico and Ken Paxton in a dead heat at 47% each in Texas.

Ben Shapiro New York Times/Siena poll

Graham Plattner leads Susan Collins by 2 points in a Maine district that voted 11 points for Kamala Harris, according to a New York Times poll.

Ben Shapiro New York Times poll