The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway

Podbit · The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway

China Decode: Why China Got Locked Out of SpaceX and America’s Biggest IPOs (ft. Ed Elson)

Explore episode Jun 16, 2026
Business
Why Chinese Investors Are Getting Locked Out of US IPOs

China Decode: Why China Got Locked Out of SpaceX and Americ… · Jun 16, 2026 Business

The SpaceX IPO barred Chinese investors, but the surprising part is that Beijing is doing just as much to keep mainland capital at home. China's securities regulator cracked down on cross-border brokerages, and the government wants its capital allocated to domestic AI and semiconductor companies — not boosting US tech valuations.

Where this was said

SpaceX IPO Deep Dive: Records, Returns, and What Comes Next

At 8:10 · chapter starts 4:59

Ed Elson digs into the SpaceX IPO in detail, noting it originally targeted $75 billion before demand pushed the raise to $86 billion — making it the largest IPO in history by a wide margin. The $135 per share issuance price saw an initial 10–11% pop on the first day, below Ed's 25% prediction, but the stock subsequently climbed over 30% by the end of the first week. He calls this an early test of market appetite but warns that the next six months will be more telling, particularly as lockup periods expire and early investors may sell. More broadly, he flags that SpaceX is just the first in a wave of massive equity offerings: Google's $86 billion, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, OpenAI, and Anthropic could collectively inject close to half a trillion dollars of new equity supply into markets — raising the question of whether there is enough investor capital to absorb it all without forcing liquidations of existing positions.

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