Iran was already negotiating toward a nuclear deal before Trump launched the war. The US reopened a waterway that was open before the conflict began, handed Iran a financial windfall, and left the nuclear issue unresolved. This is what losing looks like.
Where this was said
At 10:05 · chapter starts 7:10
Tommy methodically walks through everything that has leaked about the US-Iran deal, noting that the Trump administration has refused to release the actual text even to Bibi Netanyahu and John Thune. The deal includes a 60-day ceasefire covering Lebanon, reopening the Strait of Hormuz (though mine clearance could take six weeks), US naval blockade lifted, Iran's oil sales resuming under waived sanctions, and a staggering $300 billion reconstruction fund [1] — Tommy Vietor "Iran gets a $300 billion reconstruction fund, sanctions relief, oil exports, and tolling rights on the Strait of Hormuz — and hasn't yet ma…" 07:10 . The nuclear file — the entire stated rationale for the war — is punted to a follow-on 60-day negotiation with no agreed terms on Iran's highly enriched uranium or enrichment activities. Tommy is clear: the best deal was the one that ended the war fastest, but objectively Iran made almost no concessions given it was simply reopening a waterway that was open before the war.
Iran gets a $300 billion reconstruction fund, sanctions relief, oil exports, and tolling rights on the Strait of Hormuz — and hasn't yet made a single nuclear concession. Trump set out to destroy Iran's missiles, annihilate its navy, stop its proxies, and prevent nuclear weapons. He appears to be 1 for 4.
The deal includes a 60-day ceasefire during which all nuclear-related terms — including the fate of Iran's highly enriched uranium — must be negotiated.
Clearing all mines from the Strait of Hormuz after the ceasefire could take up to a month and a half, slowing maritime traffic even as the US blockade ends.
The US and its partners will fund up to $300 billion for Iran's reconstruction, nearly 6 times the roughly $55 billion Iran received under the JCPOA.
Under the JCPOA, Iran got roughly $55 billion only after destroying its plutonium reactor, shipping out its uranium, removing centrifuges, and accepting inspections. The new deal's $300 billion reconstruction fund alone is nearly 6x that — and Iran hasn't yet met any comparable conditions.
Ten years ago, 90% of tech media coverage was relentlessly negative and Kalanick felt he couldn't speak freely. Today, the rise of independent podcasters and Elon Musk buying Twitter has fundamentally changed the game — and it's why he's finally willing to talk.
Kay Classman, 28, was arrested for repeatedly posing as a 16-year-old and enrolling in Bronx high schools across multiple districts. She wasn't a predator — just someone so sad and lonely she wanted her lost childhood back. That's somehow sadder.
Disney, Meta, and Paramount have collectively paid Trump roughly $60 million to settle what Galloway calls nuisance lawsuits — all routed to his presidential library. Newsrooms are folding. The White House is handpicking press pool participants. This is what the end of a free press looks like.
One cheap fake documentary made by a teenager in his mother's basement convinced 16% of Americans that 9/11 was an inside job. Social media didn't invent conspiracy — it just gave it a rocket engine.
A progressive organization with a stated mission to destroy Turning Point USA received millions from ActBlue and is now publicly pushing the narrative that TPUSA insiders and Israel murdered Charlie Kirk. Andrew Wilson traced the network of accounts all amplifying the same conspiracy in perfect unison.
The microphone-bomb theory fails on every physical front: no smoke, no ignition, mic on the wrong side of the wound. And the .30-06 rifle round used is extensively documented by the US Army — it does not always produce a through-and-through wound. Wilson argues this is a well-studied projectile with well-understood behavior.
Andrew Wilson publicly offered Candace Owens $300,000 to debate her theory that Israel and TPUSA murdered Charlie Kirk. She refused. He argues that flat-earthers will debate anyone, but Kirk conspiracy theorists won't defend their claims under scrutiny.
Erika Kirk became the CEO of TPUSA while grieving her husband's murder in public, and now faces tens of thousands accusing her of conspiring to kill him. Andrew Wilson calls it mind-boggling psychological torture. The sparklers at the memorial weren't suspicious — they were a grieving widow doing her best in an impossible situation.
Joe Rogan and Andrew Wilson watch a bystander video of the Corey Ruiz police shooting in Madison, Wisconsin live on air. The video is so blurry they initially think a female officer fired the fatal shots. They later learn a male officer did, after Ruiz allegedly pulled a knife and stabbed officers. Their conclusion: you cannot have a hot take on a story you don't understand yet.
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