The Tucker Carlson Show

Podbit · The Tucker Carlson Show

JD Vance’s Warning to Israel, the Last Desperate Move of Israel-Firsters & Iran’s Growing Strength

Explore episode Jun 25, 2026

Where this was said

Brandon Weichert Intro: Where Are We Now? The Ceasefire Reality

At 49:20 · chapter starts 46:00

Tucker introduces Brandon Weichert, the geopolitical analyst who has provided running commentary on the Iran conflict, and asks for a big-picture update. Weichert delivers immediately: the MOU is better than shooting everything, but it's only 60 days, and Israel — critically — doesn't perceive itself as bound by the negotiations at all. The energy picture looks superficially better (oil at $72, down to pre-war levels) but represents a mini-glut of delayed ships finally leaving the Strait, not a true normalization. Weichert then moves through the weapons depletion data in clinical detail: 50% of Patriots gone, up to 80% of THAADs gone, one-third of Tomahawks expended. The Navy's consumption of SM-3 and SM-6 interceptors reveals the ships were under serious threat — contradicting official White House assurances of naval safety. Weichert concludes this segment with his signature framing: this is a conditional surrender document. The United States started the war and lost. Iran won strategically.

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