The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett

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OpenAI Whistleblower FINALLY Speaks: “AI Has A 70% Chance Of Going Horribly Wrong!“

Explore episode Jul 13, 2026
Business
The Intelligence Explosion: Why Job Loss Will Be Sudden

OpenAI Whistleblower FINALLY Speaks: “AI Has A 70% Chance O… · Jul 13, 2026 Business

Job displacement will not be gradual. The AI companies are deliberately automating their own research processes first — not taxis, plumbers, or lawyers. Once they achieve recursive self-improvement, the AIs become vastly superhuman at everything simultaneously, and then the wave crashes through the whole economy at once.

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What AI Will Do to Jobs

At 51:00 · chapter starts 47:38

This chapter addresses the question most directly relevant to the general listener: what's going to happen to jobs, and when? Kokotajlo's answer is counterintuitive. We have not seen mass unemployment yet — and that's exactly the problem. In science fiction and past technological waves, automation was gradual, industry by industry. But the real-world strategy of the AI companies is different: they are deliberately automating themselves first. The goal is to close the entire AI research loop — to have AIs doing all the research that produces better AIs, so that progress accelerates recursively. Only after they achieve that will they turn the technology outward into the broader economy. This means the familiar warning signs that might prompt public demand for regulation — widespread unemployment in visible industries — won't appear until it's already too late. The mass unemployment in AI 2027 doesn't occur until 2028–2029, after superintelligence has already been achieved. Kokotajlo is clear that technically all jobs could be replaced once true superintelligence exists — what jobs remain is then a political question, not a technical one.

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