Ray Dalio: I Predicted The 2008 Crash, I Know What Comes Next

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Can the Next World Order Have More Than One Superpower?

At 1:14:55 · chapter starts 1:14:52

Bartlett asks whether the next world order must produce one dominant power, as history suggests. Dalio's answer is nuanced: before World War I, simultaneous regional powers were possible precisely because they were not in one integrated global order. Today, full integration makes clear dominance more likely — but he believes the mutual costs of a US-China hot war are high enough to produce a regional compromise instead. China, he argues, has no desire to occupy foreign countries — its Confucian, top-down governance model seeks non-interference and competitive coexistence. He predicts Taiwan will be resolved through economic pressure and reunification rather than military confrontation, though the US military commitment to the Philippines and other Asian allies is now in serious question.