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Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261

Explore episode Jun 3, 2026

Believe in the exponential as we all are doing here, and you'd make this move a little more exponentially.

Ray Kurzweil

Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray…

Where this was said

How to Avoid Exponential Plateaus: Believe in the Exponential

At 24:49 · chapter starts 24:35

Alexander Wissner-Gross asks what message Kurzweil would send back to the 1970s to smooth plateaus. Kurzweil advises believing in the exponential, and discusses how 8 billion people still don't grasp the pace of change.

We have 8,000,000,000 humans who are not thinking about this. Or they might have heard something about AI. Yeah, there's something going on there, but they're not thinking about that. And they're going to college and they're planning careers the way we did a hundred years ago.

Ray Kurzweil

Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray…

Technology

86% prediction accuracy rate

Why AGI Is Close but Not Here Yet | Ray Kurzweil | EP #261 · Jun 3, 2026

Kurzweil's predictions spanning the late 1980s through 2009 were independently evaluated and found to be 86% accurate, using a strict criterion of within one year.

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