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Netflix Chases YouTube, Meta's AI Photo Grab, and Disney Fights the FCC
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Predictions: Netflix Free Tier and Madonna's Grammy Moment
At 1:10:27 · chapter starts 1:03:50
Matt opens with his serious prediction: Netflix will launch a free tier within 12 months [1] — Matt Belloni "Netflix will launch a free ad-supported tier within 12 months, housing short-form content, old licensed shows, and video podcasts to compet…" 1:05:44 . All the short-form content deals, the video podcasts, the shoulder content — it's all pointing to a Tubi/Pluto-style free service that serves as a top-of-funnel for paid Netflix and a vehicle to grow ad inventory. He imagines Netflix using unlicensed back-catalog content to populate the tier. Kara compares it to Tubi's model and agrees it's logical. She adds color: she saw YouTube's Neal Mohan and Ted Sarandos walking together at Sun Valley, adding intrigue to the streaming rivalry. Matt's fun prediction is that Madonna's Confessions II [2] — Matt Belloni "Madonna's Confessions II: first Grammy nomination since 1998 predicted: Matt Belloni predicted Madonna's new album Confessions II will rece…" 1:08:40 — which is getting extraordinary reviews and features a World Cup finale performance — will receive an Album of the Year Grammy nomination, her first since 1998. Kara concurs, praising the album and Madonna's refusal to traffic in nostalgia.
Matt Belloni predicts Netflix will launch a free ad-supported tier within a year, housing lower-cost content to compete with YouTube and Tubi while serving as a top-of-funnel for paid subscriptions.
Netflix will launch a free ad-supported tier within 12 months, housing short-form content, old licensed shows, and video podcasts to compete with YouTube and Tubi while funneling viewers into paid plans. It's the logical end of everything Netflix has been signaling.
Matt Belloni predicts Madonna's new album Confessions II will land an Album of the Year Grammy nomination — her first since 1998. With strong reviews, a World Cup finale performance, and a survivor narrative, the Grammy voters have every reason to recognize her.
Matt Belloni predicted Madonna's new album Confessions II will receive an Album of the Year Grammy nomination, which would be her first since 1998.
