My First Million

Snapshot · My First Million

Mohnish Pabrai: This will save you 10 years of bad investments

Explore episode May 22, 2026

Where this was said

The hardest question

At 1:03:54 · chapter starts 1:02:39

Shaan frames the question with characteristic honesty, citing Cathie Wood as the cautionary example: brilliant, popular, conviction-rich, but unable to beat the S&P over any meaningful time period while charging significant fees. Pabrai responds with his own track record: the oldest fund has turned every dollar into roughly $30 over 27+ years versus the S&P's $6-7, a meaningful outperformance. But the newer ETF lagged for its first 2.5 years before pulling ahead significantly. The S&P advantage is structural and paradoxical: it's too dumb to sell its winners. It owned NVIDIA and TSMC and held them without intervention. Individual portfolio managers — even great ones — see elevated valuations and trim. They see the mistress and swap. The index doesn't. The solution for investors who want to beat it is not to avoid the 4% winners but to never sell them — the same advice Pabrai gives about Coke, about Apple, about Berkshire's insurance operations. Don't fire Ajit Jain. The few bets that work are everything.

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