Jon Mallia Podcast

Snapshot · Jon Mallia Podcast

IS-SISTEMA ELETTORALI #1

Explore episode May 27, 2026

Where this was said

Inside a Real STV Count: Robert Abela's District Reconstructed

At 59:50 · chapter starts 58:50

Jon and David use Robert Abela's district as a worked example to illustrate how a full STV count actually unfolds. They begin with Abela's first-count total — roughly 11,700 votes against a quota of around 3,500 — which means he had approximately 700 surplus votes to distribute. Those 700 votes are scanned ballot-by-ballot and redistributed proportionally to whichever candidates appear as next preferences on each ballot. They then trace through subsequent counts: a candidate with 3.6 quotas sees their surplus flow; an eliminated candidate's 30 votes split — ten going to one name, ten to another, five to a third, five becoming non-transferable. Round by round, the field narrows. The discussion reaches the dramatic moment where two candidates — Alison and Byron — are separated by a handful of votes and the question of whose transfers arrive first becomes decisive. David uses this reconstruction to make a larger point: the order in which counts proceed is itself a strategic variable, and parties that understand it can manage their candidate slates more effectively than those who simply field names and hope.

Government
How Surplus Votes Are Transferred in STV

IS-SISTEMA ELETTORALI #1 · May 27, 2026 Government

When a candidate exceeds the quota, their surplus votes are redistributed proportionally — not arbitrarily. If a candidate has 150 surplus votes over a quota of 3,500, every ballot they received is rescanned and the extras flow to second preferences at a fractional value. This process repeats until all seats are filled, meaning the order of transfers across many counts determines the final result.

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