In the AI 2040 scenario, by 2033 there are 60 million AIs operating at 100 times human cognitive speed, dramatically transforming the economy.
Snapshot · The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
In the AI 2040 scenario, by 2033 there are 60 million AIs operating at 100 times human cognitive speed, dramatically transforming the economy.
Where this was said
At 1:25:00 · chapter starts 1:24:55
Steven Bartlett walks through the Plan A timeline, stopping on 2033 — the point in the scenario when citizens begin receiving dividend payments. Kokotajlo explains the logic: if AIs and robots are doing the productive work, the economic surplus needs to be distributed to the people who would otherwise have been doing that work. His proposed mechanism is a citizens' agency that sells permits to AI and robot companies and distributes the proceeds as shares to every citizen. Starting around $25,000 per person per year, the dividend grows dramatically as the AI economy expands — reaching approximately $10 million per person per year at its projected peak. The key timing principle: the dividend must be implemented before the jobs are gone, not after. Waiting until 2037 would mean everyone has already lost their job by the time the cheques arrive. He also stresses that job loss is not purely an income problem — it's also a political power problem, as citizens' economic leverage over governments disappears alongside their employment.
If AI takes the jobs, people need a new source of income and political power. Kokotajlo proposes a citizens' dividend funded by permits sold to AI and robot companies — starting at $25,000 per person per year and growing to $10 million per person per year as the economy expands. The key is implementing it before the jobs are gone, not after.
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