Speaker
Dave Sekera
Appearances over time
1 episodes
Episodes
1
Podcasts
Quotes & moments
Spot energy markets reflect boots-on-the-ground reality because energy supermajors like BP and ExxonMobil run massive trading desks with advanced global data flows.
The Federal Reserve and market analysts need several more months of CPI/PPI prints to accurately map if companies are passing tariff costs to end consumers.
Market futures show almost no expectation of a July cut, though the probability rises to 65% for the subsequent September Fed meeting.
High unsold home inventories and elevated mortgage rates mean housing starts likely won't bottom out and hit the 1.5 million target until 2028-2029.
The analyst decreased his long-term growth assumption by 30 basis points annually for five years, but the stock is still a buy at a 30% discount.
The sudden upward momentum occurred without any company-specific corporate news catalyst, leading Sekera to suggest locking in profits.
The cuts are immaterial in the context of the massive long-term procurement forecast of 2,500 jets for the US and 1,000 for allied nations.
As the undisputed global leader in high-end photolithography machinery, ASML is uniquely exposed to secular AI infrastructure buildouts through 2030.
Watch global spot oil prices rather than news headlines during geopolitical crises. Energy giants like BP and ExxonMobil run sophisticated global trading desks that price in real-time ground truth.
Analysis
What they talk about
- Business 100%
Connections
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