Speaker
Roman Yampolskiy
24 bits across the podcasts they've appeared on
Unlike past automation waves, AI will automate every job, making retraining into a new career a futile strategy.
Yampolskiy predicted that AI agent design roles, currently seen as the hot new tech job, will themselves be automated within a year or two.
No government currently has programs prepared to handle unemployment rates approaching 99% as AI displaces the workforce.
Yampolskiy predicted that by 2030, humanoid robots will have enough flexibility and dexterity to compete with humans across all physical domains, including skilled trades.
Ray Kurzweil predicts 2045 as the year technological progress becomes so rapid that humanity can no longer understand or keep up with it.
As AI knowledge expands exponentially, every human researcher's share of total knowledge shrinks daily, eventually approaching zero.
Yampolskiy argued that creating artificial general intelligence is unique because it produces a new inventor, capable of making all future inventions itself.
The cost to train sufficiently large AI models decreases annually, meaning superintelligence that might cost a trillion dollars today could eventually be built on a laptop.
Unlike nuclear weapons, superintelligence is a distributed autonomous agent that can make backups, predict human responses, and neutralise shutdown attempts.
Even the people who build large AI systems must run experiments on their own products to discover what they are capable of — the internal workings remain opaque.
Advances in synthetic biology mean that someone with only a bachelor's degree in biology may soon be able to create a novel virus.
Yampolskiy argued that uncontrolled superintelligence poses equal danger regardless of which nation builds it first, making it analogous to mutually assured nuclear destruction.
