God Mode Podcast

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EP17: The SpaceX IPO Thesis Just Flipped + Anthropic Passed OpenAI (First Time IRL, w/ Reuben Ferrante)

Explore episode Jun 19, 2026

Where this was said

SpaceX IPO: the $11B Google deal that flips the thesis

At 6:36 · chapter starts 6:00

Two weeks earlier, Ben had argued the SpaceX IPO was overvalued given the revenue picture. Then the Google compute deal landed. At $920 million per month, $11 billion per year in new ARR from a single contract, the thesis flipped. The deal added more annual revenue in one stroke than Snowflake's entire annual run rate, Ben notes — a vivid benchmark for the scale involved. The IPO, priced on June 12 (two days after this recording), had already received $150 billion in commitments against a $75 billion raise. Ben's conclusion: his bearish view has changed. The crew begins working through whether a $2 trillion valuation is actually defensible.

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