Trump went from a 1-point advantage with men under 30 in 2024 to being underwater by 55 points in recent polling. That's not a drift — it's a freefall that could reshape Republican strategy for the midterms.
Where this was said
At 0:15 · chapter starts 0:00
The episode opens with Astead Herndon cutting straight to the numbers that define the story: among men under 30, Trump went from a razor-thin 1-point advantage over Kamala Harris in 2024 to an approval rating that is now underwater by a staggering 55 points [1] — Astead Herndon "Men under 30 approval swing: +1 to -55: Trump went from a 1-point advantage with men under 30 in 2024 to being underwater by 55 points in 2…" 00:15 . It's the kind of swing that forces a reckoning — not just about one man's popularity but about whether a movement built on masculine identity and anti-establishment cool can survive contact with governing. Herndon frames his mission clearly: he's heading to Washington, D.C., for Trump's UFC event at the White House to take the pulse of this exact demographic in person. The question driving the episode is deceptively simple — do young men still think Trump is cool? — but the answer, as the episode will show, cuts to the heart of American political realignment. The opening sponsor reads for BetterHelp and Fetch Pet Insurance follow.
Trump went from a 1-point advantage with men under 30 in 2024 to being underwater by 55 points in 2025 polling — a stunning reversal.
Ten years ago, 90% of tech media coverage was relentlessly negative and Kalanick felt he couldn't speak freely. Today, the rise of independent podcasters and Elon Musk buying Twitter has fundamentally changed the game — and it's why he's finally willing to talk.
Kay Classman, 28, was arrested for repeatedly posing as a 16-year-old and enrolling in Bronx high schools across multiple districts. She wasn't a predator — just someone so sad and lonely she wanted her lost childhood back. That's somehow sadder.
Disney, Meta, and Paramount have collectively paid Trump roughly $60 million to settle what Galloway calls nuisance lawsuits — all routed to his presidential library. Newsrooms are folding. The White House is handpicking press pool participants. This is what the end of a free press looks like.
One cheap fake documentary made by a teenager in his mother's basement convinced 16% of Americans that 9/11 was an inside job. Social media didn't invent conspiracy — it just gave it a rocket engine.
A progressive organization with a stated mission to destroy Turning Point USA received millions from ActBlue and is now publicly pushing the narrative that TPUSA insiders and Israel murdered Charlie Kirk. Andrew Wilson traced the network of accounts all amplifying the same conspiracy in perfect unison.
The microphone-bomb theory fails on every physical front: no smoke, no ignition, mic on the wrong side of the wound. And the .30-06 rifle round used is extensively documented by the US Army — it does not always produce a through-and-through wound. Wilson argues this is a well-studied projectile with well-understood behavior.
Andrew Wilson publicly offered Candace Owens $300,000 to debate her theory that Israel and TPUSA murdered Charlie Kirk. She refused. He argues that flat-earthers will debate anyone, but Kirk conspiracy theorists won't defend their claims under scrutiny.
Erika Kirk became the CEO of TPUSA while grieving her husband's murder in public, and now faces tens of thousands accusing her of conspiring to kill him. Andrew Wilson calls it mind-boggling psychological torture. The sparklers at the memorial weren't suspicious — they were a grieving widow doing her best in an impossible situation.
Joe Rogan and Andrew Wilson watch a bystander video of the Corey Ruiz police shooting in Madison, Wisconsin live on air. The video is so blurry they initially think a female officer fired the fatal shots. They later learn a male officer did, after Ruiz allegedly pulled a knife and stabbed officers. Their conclusion: you cannot have a hot take on a story you don't understand yet.
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