Engine lease rates for current-generation equipment are starting to soften a bit from historic peaks. While still exceptionally strong, rates are responding to incremental shifts in airline demand and fleet capacity.
The AI bubble is not a question of if but when — Dalio says all the classic warning signs are present and the data is consistent with the peak being very soon. He calls it the biggest investment bubble in American history.
Wealth is not money — you can only spend money, not wealth. When asset holders need cash, they sell en masse, prices collapse, collateral disappears, and borrowers are wiped out. This is the mechanical inevitability of every bubble burst.
Bubbles burst when interest rates rise above equity returns, forcing debt-holders to liquidate. Simultaneously, companies flood the market with new stock issuance. These two forces combined — forced selling and rising supply — are the classic pricking mechanism.
Holding cash in a bank or money market fund feels safe but is almost guaranteed to deliver the worst long-term return. With inflation at 3.5–4% and interest taxed, you're likely losing purchasing power every single year.
Diversification across uncorrelated assets — stocks, gold, bonds, real estate, Bitcoin — reduces risk without sacrificing returns. The key is understanding that these assets move in opposite directions, so when one crashes, others hold. Start with what you need, then build the mix.
Gold is the only financial asset that isn't someone else's liability. Bitcoin can be monitored, taxed, or blocked by governments — and central banks won't hold it. For Dalio, gold's track record as the second-largest reserve currency makes it the superior wealth protector.
Sam built Algrow, a SaaS for finding viral content formats, with zero coding experience using ChatGPT and Cursor. Six months later: 10,000 users, $14K/month in revenue.
Sam's first MVP threw an application error on its very first user — and he shipped it anyway. The core idea worked, and that was enough to validate the product and keep users coming back.
Sam joined Discord voice chats, muted himself, and silently screen-shared his product. Users in the chat started tagging him asking what the tool was. No pitch needed — curiosity did the selling.
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