The Rest Is Politics: US

Podbit · The Rest Is Politics: US

197. Vance Vs Hegseth: Who Takes the Fall for Trump’s Iran Deal?

Explore episode Jun 18, 2026
News
The Kushner Doctrine: Business Deals Can Override Ideology

197. Vance Vs Hegseth: Who Takes the Fall for Trump’s Iran … · Jun 18, 2026 News

Jared Kushner genuinely believes you can do a business deal with any regime and it will override their ideology. During the first term he said giving Palestinians shiny condos would fix the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Now he thinks a cash injection will make Iran abandon 47 years of 'Death to America.' Both times, spectacularly wrong.

Where this was said

The Iranian Playbook: Waiting Out American Electoral Clocks for 47 Years

At 18:15 · chapter starts 18:10

Scaramucci lays out the Iranian playbook: negotiate when the pressure gets uncomfortable, secure sanctions relief, stabilise the regime, then wait. They have no electoral clock; America does. Every administration has fallen for this. He invokes Scott Anderson's book King of Kings about the Shah's fall, opening with a CIA report from March 1979 calling the regime 'durable, long-term, and sustainable' — just six months before total collapse. America got it wrong with the 1953 Mosaddegh coup, wrong by propping up the Shah, wrong by missing the theocratic revolution, and wrong again now. The bombs don't work either: bankrupt Iran just becomes more fanatical. What's needed, he argues, is genuine empathy for the adversary's worldview — American centrism doesn't travel well to Tehran.

History
America Keeps Getting Iran Wrong — For 70 Years

197. Vance Vs Hegseth: Who Takes the Fall for Trump’s Iran … · Jun 18, 2026 History

In March 1979, a CIA report called the Shah's regime 'durable, long-term, and sustainable.' Six months later, America was in crisis. Before that: the 1953 coup against Mosaddegh. After that: propping up the Shah. Then missing the revolutionary fanaticism. Now signing a deal in Versailles. The pattern is unbroken and spans seven decades.

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