Podbit · The Ben Shapiro Show
Credible threat of force — not negotiations or strategic diplomacy — is what determines outcomes in the Middle East. Israel's deterrence against Iran proves the point: the harder the credible threat, the less you actually get hit.
Where this was said
At 4:50 · chapter starts 3:40
Iran's strike pattern reveals a telling asymmetry: it is hitting US bases and allies in Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, and Jordan — everywhere except Israel. Shapiro argues the explanation is straightforward: Israel has made it unmistakably clear that any Iranian strike will be answered not with pinprick responses but with regime-ending force. [1] — Ben Shapiro "Iran is striking US bases in Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, and Jordan — but conspicuously not Israel. The reason is simple: Israel has made crystal …" 03:40 Israel might target the South Pars gas field, key strategic resources, senior regime figures — even Mojtaba Khamenei, the Supreme Leader's son, who is rumored to have already fled the country. Iran knows this calculation and acts accordingly. For Shapiro, this dynamic encapsulates the fundamental rule of the Middle East: outcomes are determined not by negotiations or strategic diplomacy but by who can generate a credible threat of force. [2] — Ben Shapiro "Credible threat of force — not negotiations or strategic diplomacy — is what determines outcomes in the Middle East. Israel's deterrence ag…" 04:50 Israel has done that; the United States, he implies, needs to do the same.
Iran is striking US allies across the Middle East but deliberately avoiding Israel because a strike on Israel would likely trigger regime-ending retaliation.
Iran is striking US bases in Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, and Jordan — but conspicuously not Israel. The reason is simple: Israel has made crystal clear it will respond to any strike with regime-ending force, including targeting South Pars gas fields and key regime figures.
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