Pivot

Snapshot · Pivot

Michigan's Primary Drama, the DOJ's Next Boss, and Hillary Clinton Co-Hosts

Explore episode Aug 7, 2026

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Predictions: House Takeover, Senate Odds, and Paramount-Skydance Settlement

At 1:12:33 · chapter starts 1:10:48

Both hosts offer formal predictions. Clinton goes first: Democrats will retake the House, and she gives them slightly better than 50-50 odds on the Senate — a more optimistic take than most conventional wisdom. Kara's prediction concerns the Paramount-Skydance antitrust case: David Ellison's op-ed in the New York Times hasn't helped his case with Democratic AGs, the judge moved the trial from November to March, and by October a delay fee kicks in. Kara predicts a settlement is economically inevitable given Paramount's approximately $880 billion in debt, Oracle stock's decline, and CNN's $700 million profitability complicating any spin-off. Clinton pushes back gently, noting the delay fee structure gives Ellison some room, but agrees the economic logic points toward settlement. The discussion naturally folds back into broader AI market uncertainty and the need for governance, landing on a shared note of pragmatic urgency.

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