Pivot

Snapshot · Pivot

Trump's Iran Deal, SpaceX’s Wild Ride, and Snap’s Specs

Explore episode Jun 19, 2026

Where this was said

Prediction: An Activist Will Force Snap to Spin Off Specs

At 1:04:00 · chapter starts 1:00:25

Scott builds the bull case for Snap's core business before making his activist call. The social network has 1 billion monthly active users, over $6 billion in revenue, subscription revenue of $1 billion growing at 60%, and — if re-rated to Reddit's forward multiples — could be worth 3.5 times its current market cap. The problem is the Specs division, which has consumed $3.5 billion over a decade for essentially zero return. Scott argues that a disciplined activist taking 5-10% of the company could force Evan Spiegel to either spin Specs into a separate entity or shut it down entirely, unlocking the core business's real value. He frames the broader IPO market backdrop — predicting 20 new hedge funds from SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI employees heading to Europe this summer with fresh wealth — as context for why activists will be flush and aggressive.

Business
The Activist Play on Snap

Trump's Iran Deal, SpaceX’s Wild Ride, and Snap’s Specs · Jun 19, 2026 Business

Snap has spent $3.5 billion on Specs hardware over a decade — about a third of its adjusted EBITDA per year — with no real return. The core business has $6B in revenue growing 10% and $1B in subscription revenue growing 60%. Scott predicts an activist will take 5-10% of the company in the next 3 months and force a spin-off or shutdown of Specs.

Similar snapshots