EU commercial stocks of jet fuel are expected to be depleted approximately by the end of summer 2025 if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.
Snapshot · The Rest Is Politics
EU commercial stocks of jet fuel are expected to be depleted approximately by the end of summer 2025 if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.
Where this was said
At 5:00 · chapter starts 4:35
Dan Jørgensen distinguishes between a price crisis — already underway — and a supply security crisis, which remains a serious risk if hostilities resume. He explains that while a peace settlement could normalise the situation, commercial EU jet fuel stocks are on course to be depleted by the end of summer; after that, national strategic reserves must be released. [1] — Dan Jørgensen "Europe's jet fuel stocks will be depleted by end of summer if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed. After that come national strategic reserve…" 04:30 The problem is structural: Europe only refines around 70% of its own jet fuel domestically. Diesel could be next in line. He closes with a sobering reminder that the crisis is not hypothetical for countries in Asia, who are already facing daily supply shortfalls — and that fertiliser shortages, often overlooked, are compounding the global impact.
When Putin invaded Ukraine in 2022, Denmark had emergency plans ready to force companies to close — by military escort if necessary — to conserve gas for hospitals. Europe sourced 45% of its gas, 50% of its coal, and 27% of its oil from Russia then; today those figures are roughly 10%, 0%, and 3%.
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