Snapshot · The Bulwark Podcast
The Ukraine war has now surpassed the Napoleonic Wars in Russian casualties, with only WWI and WWII being deadlier for Russia in its entire history.
Where this was said
At 43:30 · chapter starts 42:40
Tim Miller flags two signals of potential instability in Russia: a multimillion-dollar Polymarket bet that Putin will be removed from power this year, and the suspicious death of former defense minister Sergey Ivanov, one of Putin's closest allies [1] — Susan Glasser "Russia: 1.4 million casualties in Ukraine war: Latest estimates put Russian casualties — deaths and serious injuries — at 1.4 million, maki…" 43:03 . Susan Glasser provides the historical framing: Ivanov was initially seen as Putin's potential successor, and the world might have been very different had Putin chosen him over Dmitry Medvedev as placeholder. She then delivers the episode's most striking data point: Russia has suffered approximately 1.4 million casualties in Ukraine, surpassing the Napoleonic Wars and making this Russia's deadliest conflict since WWII. The human capital catastrophe carries inherent political instability — but Glasser cautions that hardliners who believe Putin isn't being aggressive enough might be even worse for the world than Putin himself. The scenarios on the table for Russia, she says, are 'bad to worse.'
Russia has suffered an estimated 1.4 million casualties in Ukraine — deaths and serious injuries combined. This surpasses the Napoleonic Wars and is Russia's deadliest conflict since WWII. Susan Glasser argues this level of human destruction carries inherent instability, but warns that hardline successors to Putin could be even worse.
Latest estimates put Russian casualties — deaths and serious injuries — at 1.4 million, making it the deadliest war in Russian history after WWI and WWII.
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