Snapshot · The Bulwark Podcast
An Anthropic economist's paper argued that with log utility it is optimal to accept a 1-in-3 chance of ending human existence for a 2-in-3 chance of raising living standards by a factor of 55.
Nevada utility NV Energy informed Lake Tahoe-area provider Liberty Utilities it will stop delivering power to approximately 50,000 residents after May 2027, redirecting supply to data centers.
Data centers are reportedly underreporting how much electricity they plan to consume, causing utility companies to redirect supply away from residential customers.
The European Commission is weighing an EU-wide ban on social media access for children under 16, following a panel report due Monday.
Daniel Kokotajlo puts a 70% probability on AI development leading to catastrophic outcomes such as AI takeover or something approaching human extinction.
Daniel Kokotajlo's 50% probability estimate for the arrival of superintelligence is currently 2029, with a strong possibility it happens by end of the decade.
If governments wait until mass unemployment sets in before regulating AI, it will already be too late — the companies' strategy is to achieve superintelligence first, then automate jobs.
From 175 billion parameters in 2020 to approximately 10 trillion today, AI models have grown by roughly two orders of magnitude in six years.
AI 2027 vastly exceeded Kokotajlo's own pre-publication readership forecasts, reaching what he estimates as a 90th percentile outcome in views.
In the AI 2040 Plan A scenario, one fifth of all cognitive labor is projected to be performed by AI by 2031.
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