Moonshots with Peter Diamandis

Podbit · Moonshots with Peter Diamandis

Michael Kratsios on the New Golden Age of American Science | EP #276

Explore episode Aug 4, 2026

Where this was said

Why Scientific Productivity Is Declining: Eroom's Law and Institutional Sclerosis

At 31:30 · chapter starts 31:15

The interview pivots to the substantive heart of the Golden Age Report: why, despite record budgets and better tools, is scientific productivity declining? Kratsios traces the problem to institutional inertia — a system designed decades ago that nobody wants to change, especially those who have succeeded within it. The data is damning: the NIH budget has swelled to nearly $45 billion yet drugs are more expensive than ever. A National Academies study found researchers spend 45% of their time on grant administration. The median age of an intramural NIH scientist is 71 — while the average age of Nobel-winning scientific work is in a researcher's 20s. The scientific community, Kratsios observes wryly, is perhaps the community least interested in experimenting with new ways of doing science. The irony is not lost on either speaker.

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