Pod Save the World

Podbit · Pod Save the World

Pope Warns of AI Apocalypse

Explore episode May 27, 2026

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Ben Rhodes: Trump's Iran Dead End & the Lebanon Trap

At 14:55 · chapter starts 14:08

Ben unpacks the structural logic of the Iran impasse. Trump keeps spinning a best-case deal on Truth Social before the agreement is finalized, causing the IRGC to yank back its negotiators, then scrambling to reassemble. The real hangup is sequencing: Trump wants Iran to open the Strait before receiving money, but Iran holds all the leverage and won't move first. Ben argues that the eventual deal will be JCPOA lite — Iran ships HEU out, accepts inspections, gets money in tranches — because Trump has no alternative. The Netanyahu dimension is equally alarming: facing an election with no war objectives met, Netanyahu cannot afford to look like he lost, which means he may try to heat up Gaza or the West Bank once the Iran front goes quiet. Tommy and Ben also react with disbelief to NYT reporting, attributed to Ronan Bergman, that the US-Israel plan was to install Ahmadinejad — who crushed the 2009 Green Movement — as Iran's post-war leader via targeted airstrikes.

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