A Frank Luntz tweet claimed the Iran deal was 95% done, with the remaining 5% covering Iran opening the Strait of Hormuz and turning over all nuclear materials — i.e., the entire substance of a deal.
Where this was said
At 17:00 · chapter starts 14:08
Ben unpacks the structural logic of the Iran impasse. Trump keeps spinning a best-case deal on Truth Social before the agreement is finalized, causing the IRGC to yank back its negotiators, then scrambling to reassemble. The real hangup is sequencing: Trump wants Iran to open the Strait before receiving money, but Iran holds all the leverage and won't move first. Ben argues that the eventual deal will be JCPOA lite — Iran ships HEU out, accepts inspections, gets money in tranches — because Trump has no alternative. The Netanyahu dimension is equally alarming: facing an election with no war objectives met, Netanyahu cannot afford to look like he lost, which means he may try to heat up Gaza or the West Bank once the Iran front goes quiet. Tommy and Ben also react with disbelief to NYT reporting, attributed to Ronan Bergman, that the US-Israel plan was to install Ahmadinejad — who crushed the 2009 Green Movement — as Iran's post-war leader via targeted airstrikes.
The US and Israel apparently planned to spring Mahmoud Ahmadinejad from house arrest via targeted airstrikes and install him as Iran's post-war leader. This is the man who crushed the 2009 Green Movement and threatened to eradicate Israel — the absolute nadir of regime-change fantasy planning.
Kalanick estimates that a decade ago, 90% of media coverage of tech business was negative, treating companies like political targets.
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From 2024 to 2025, violent crime decreased 9%, property crime decreased 12.4%, and motor vehicle theft decreased 23%.
California's Ebony Alert Program, designed for the swift recovery of missing Black youth and women, officially went into effect on January 1, 2024.
Andrew Santino discovered that American tourists now need to pay $20 to apply for an Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA) to visit the UK, starting January 2025.
Kay Classman, a 28-year-old woman, was arrested for repeatedly enrolling in a Bronx high school posing as a 16-year-old student across multiple school districts.
A poll around 2011 found that 16% of Americans believed 9/11 was an inside job, illustrating how viral misinformation had already embedded itself in public opinion before social media peaked.
Andrew Wilson offered Candace Owens $300,000 to debate her Charlie Kirk conspiracy theory, but she refused.
According to the podcast, only 11 people were killed by the coordinated Israeli pager attack on Hezbollah operatives, despite widespread detonations.
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