The Rest Is Politics

Podbit · The Rest Is Politics

548. Burnham vs. Westminster and Trump’s Next Target

Explore episode Jun 30, 2026

Where this was said

Trump's Monroe Doctrine and the Battle for Brazil

At 45:35 · chapter starts 44:00

Rory argues that Trump's foreign policy has a rare coherence when it comes to the Americas: he is explicitly pursuing a 'Trump corollary to the Monroe Doctrine', seeking to dominate the Western Hemisphere as a strategic priority over the Middle East, Europe, or Asia. Evidence includes the kidnapping of Venezuela's president, relentless pressure on Cuba, sanctions threats against left-wing candidates, and rewards for allies like Milei. China and the global left will see the current Latin American shift as a Trump victory. Alastair then focuses on Brazil: Lula, now 80, faces Flávio Bolsonaro in an October first round, with Trump expected to back him. A Brazilian survey shows a Trump endorsement would increase vote intention for 17% but decrease it for 15% — its impact is ambiguous. Alastair notes the overseas Peruvian vote — largely based in the US — may have tipped Fujimori's narrow win, raising questions about direct Trump influence on diaspora voters.

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