The Bill Simmons Podcast

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NBA Draft Questions, Harper vs. Fox, and the USMNT’s World Cup Ceiling

Explore episode Jun 19, 2026

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World Cup Talk with Anthony Dabbundo

At 2:03:07 · chapter starts 1:33:13

Dabbundo nominates Germany as the fifth team to watch despite 14-1 odds — their attacking talent is formidable, but their defense has failed them for multiple World Cup cycles and a potential France clash on July 4th in Philly looms. The US bracket situation is laid out: finish first, and the round of 16 is in Santa Clara; win that, and it's Seattle July 6th; win again, quarterfinals at SoFi July 10th. Dabbundo's official prediction is the US wins their first two knockout games — potentially beating Belgium in the round of 16 for 2014 revenge — before running into Spain in the quarterfinals. He notes that with quarterfinals odds at +180, the market implies roughly a 37% chance of the US reaching the final eight. The episode closes with Simmons tipping the Sunday Netflix live show with Zach Lowe.

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