$10B sanctions relief from oil waivers
Economist Steve Rattner estimated the 60-day oil sanctions waiver could bring Iran up to $10 billion in relief.
Where this was said
Iran Peace Talks: Progress, Skepticism, and JD Vance's Errors
At 8:14 · chapter starts 3:05
Jon Favreau opens with a recap of a chaotic week in the Iran negotiations: the ceasefire briefly collapsed, Iran announced it closed the Strait of Hormuz, and Trump threatened to take over the strait entirely. JD Vance cited three points of progress — keeping the strait open, a Hezbollah deconfliction mechanism, and Iran agreeing to nuclear inspectors — but the Iranians haven't confirmed any of it. Meanwhile, the US handed over a 60-day oil sanctions waiver potentially worth $10 billion, the first such waiver in roughly four decades [1] — Jon Favreau "60-day Iran sanctions waiver: The US agreed to waive sanctions on Iranian oil for 60 days — the first time in roughly 4 decades — before Ir…" 08:26 . Tommy Vietor is particularly skeptical: Iran has more time and expertise in negotiations, Trump has given up his leverage, and the threat of military action is gone. Jon Lovett puts the situation bluntly — Iran looks like it forced concessions without firing a shot. The segment ends with a sharp fact-check of JD Vance's Ross Douthat interview, where Vance falsely claimed the current deal is better than the JCPOA on uranium. Tommy corrects the record: under the JCPOA, Iran shipped 97% of its uranium to Russia; the current deal would merely down-blend it and keep it inside Iran [2] — Tommy Vietor "97% uranium shipped out under JCPOA: Under the Obama-era JCPOA, Iran shipped out 97% of its uranium stockpile to Russia for disposal — the …" 10:25 .
Iran Sanctions Relief Before Any Verified Concessions
The US agreed to a 60-day oil sanctions waiver — the first in 40 years — potentially worth $10 billion to Iran, before Iran confirmed a single nuclear weapons inspector entry. Jon Favreau and Tommy Vietor note that under the JCPOA, no sanctions relief came until Iran acted first.
60-day Iran sanctions waiver
The US agreed to waive sanctions on Iranian oil for 60 days — the first time in roughly 4 decades — before Iran confirmed any nuclear inspections.
JD Vance Got the Iran Deal Exactly Backwards
JD Vance told Ross Douthat that unlike Obama's deal, the new arrangement removes Iran's enriched uranium. That's flatly false. Under the JCPOA, Iran shipped 97% of its stockpile to Russia. The current deal would merely down-blend it and keep it inside Iran.
97% uranium shipped out under JCPOA
Under the Obama-era JCPOA, Iran shipped out 97% of its uranium stockpile to Russia for disposal — the opposite of what JD Vance claimed.
Similar snapshots
Media: 90% negative coverage 10 years ago
Kalanick estimates that a decade ago, 90% of media coverage of tech business was negative, treating companies like political targets.
Largest crime drop since 1937
2024–2025 marked the single largest decrease in violent crime and murder in the US since 1937.
Violent crime down 9% in 2024–25
From 2024 to 2025, violent crime decreased 9%, property crime decreased 12.4%, and motor vehicle theft decreased 23%.
Ebony Alert went into effect January 1, 2024
California's Ebony Alert Program, designed for the swift recovery of missing Black youth and women, officially went into effect on January 1, 2024.
UK tourist ETA costs $20 to apply
Andrew Santino discovered that American tourists now need to pay $20 to apply for an Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA) to visit the UK, starting January 2025.
Kay Classman, 28, posed as a 16-year-old student
Kay Classman, a 28-year-old woman, was arrested for repeatedly enrolling in a Bronx high school posing as a 16-year-old student across multiple school districts.
16% of Americans: 9/11 inside job
A poll around 2011 found that 16% of Americans believed 9/11 was an inside job, illustrating how viral misinformation had already embedded itself in public opinion before social media peaked.
$300K debate offer to Candace Owens
Andrew Wilson offered Candace Owens $300,000 to debate her Charlie Kirk conspiracy theory, but she refused.
Only 11 killed by Israeli pager bombs
According to the podcast, only 11 people were killed by the coordinated Israeli pager attack on Hezbollah operatives, despite widespread detonations.
