Modern Wisdom

Snapshot · Modern Wisdom

Why The AI Doomers Might Be Right - Robert Wright - #1122

Explore episode Jul 11, 2026

Where this was said

The AI Risk That's Most Underappreciated: Inevitable Destabilisation

At 37:43 · chapter starts 37:32

Wright revisits what he regards as the most underappreciated risk: not a dramatic doom scenario but the sheer probability of widespread destabilisation. Just as individuals are at their wisest when calm, Wright contends, the global community will handle AI most responsibly when it is tranquil — which means reducing international tensions is not merely a nice-to-have but a prerequisite for wise AI governance. Chris pushes back by raising the COVID comparison: even with a real-time, universally visible crisis killing people in every country simultaneously, international coordination was catastrophically poor. Wright largely concedes this, noting that COVID introduced zero-sum dynamics (who gets the vaccines?) that partially explain the failure, but argues the most discouraging lesson is not the pandemic itself but the aftermath. The possibility that COVID was caused by a lab-leak — a genetically engineered organism that escaped accidentally — received almost no serious international discussion about transparency or prevention. That silence, Wright says, is the most disheartening data point about our collective readiness for AI-era risks.

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