Vance sinking in 2028 polls; Rubio rising
JD Vance was leading polls for the 2028 Republican nomination but is sinking fast while Marco Rubio is rising, according to polling and betting markets.
Snapshot · The Rest Is Politics: US
197. Vance Vs Hegseth: Who Takes the Fall for Trump’s Iran Deal?
Explore episode
Jun 18, 2026
Where this was said
Trump's Authentic Inauthenticity vs Vance's Inauthentic Inauthenticity
At 42:05 · chapter starts 39:20
The conversation arrives at its philosophical center. Katty argues that Trump's brand is built on a coherent, if bizarre, authenticity: he has always said contradictory things, always flopped positions, and always done so without shame. That shamelessness is itself genuine. Vance, by contrast, is doing the same thing but trying to clothe it in a narrative of spiritual discovery and family values. The clothes don't fit. Scaramucci agrees: you're almost better off saying 'my brand is that I'm unanchored' — that at least is honest. Vance's authentic self, Katty suggests, is simply a man who wants to be president more than anything else. If he'd just say that, it might actually work. But he won't.
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