FedEx Slips After First Earnings Since Spinoff

FedEx Slips After First Earnings Since Spinoff

Google DeepMind's AI hurricane model accurately predicted the path and intensity of Hurricane Melissa — the strongest Category 5 ever recorded — despite the storm being completely absent from its training data.

Jun 24, 2026 21:41 Difficulty: Beginner Played

TL;DR

Bloomberg Intelligence covers three segments: FedEx's first post-spinoff earnings, AI's role in hurricane forecasting, and ESPN SportsCenter legend Linda Cohn's retirement after 34 years. FedEx beat on cost controls but guidance came in slightly below whisper numbers, sending shares lower despite a strong year-to-date run. Google DeepMind's AI model accurately predicted Hurricane Melissa — the strongest Category 5 on record — despite never encountering a storm of that magnitude in training data. Key takeaway: AI weather models are outperforming 30-year-old government models on their very first real stress tests.

#FedEx post-spinoff earnings #AI hurricane forecasting #Hurricane Melissa Cat 5 #El Niño Atlantic impact #NOAA DOGE cuts #Linda Cohn ESPN retirement #SportsCenter history #women in sports broadcasting #FedEx B2B data centers #Amazon logistics competition #sports cable to streaming transition #Google DeepMind weather AI #FedEx earnings #FedEx spinoff #AI weather models #hurricane forecasting #Hurricane Melissa #El Niño #Google DeepMind #NOAA #Linda Cohn #ESPN #SportsCenter #sports broadcasting #B2B logistics #Amazon logistics #streaming sports

Bloomberg Intelligence covers FedEx's first post-spinoff earnings, AI hurricane forecasting breakthroughs, and Linda Cohn's retirement after 34 years as ESPN's longest-tenured SportsCenter anchor.

Chapter list
  • Pre-roll advertisements from Brookfield asset management and Bank of America's BofA Rewards loyalty program.

  • IBM advertisement highlighting AI resolving 94% of HR questions, followed by Bloomberg Intelligence podcast intro.

  • Lee Klaskow reviews FedEx's fiscal Q4 earnings beat on cost controls, demand picture, data center tailwinds, and the shift to calendar-year reporting that may have confused investors.

  • Lee Klaskow explains why Amazon's logistics expansion isn't a direct threat to FedEx, which prefers higher-margin B2B business over consumer parcel delivery.

  • Mid-episode advertisements for Brookfield alternative investments and IBM AI workplace solutions.

  • Public.com sponsor read describing AI agents that execute investing strategies automatically based on user-defined conditions.

  • Bloomberg Intelligence podcast availability reminder across Apple CarPlay, Android Auto, and YouTube.

  • Ryan Ward introduces AI weather models now deployed for tropical cyclone forecasting, outperforming traditional models built over 30+ years — all in just their first real-world season.

  • Google DeepMind's AI model correctly predicted Hurricane Melissa's path and intensity despite the unprecedented storm never appearing in training data.

  • Ryan Ward explains El Niño's suppressing effect on Atlantic hurricanes, with NOAA forecasting 3–6 storms, while the eastern Pacific may see increased activity.

  • Discussion of DOGE-related NOAA meteorologist layoffs and rehiring pushes, raising concerns about continuity of the gold-standard US hurricane forecasting agency.

  • Ryan Ward shares how growing up in Florida under dramatic cloud formations and witnessing the BP oil spill drove him to pursue atmospheric science.

  • Advertisements for LPL Financial advisory services, Public.com AI investing agents, and Venture Global US energy infrastructure.

  • Linda Cohn reflects on joining ESPN in 1992, anchoring 5,000 SportsCenter episodes, and watching the score ticker go from hated innovation to television staple.

  • Linda Cohn shares her origin story: a shy kid with thick glasses who found identity through sports and as a teenage goalie forced to play with 8-year-old boys, building resilience that shaped her career.

  • Linda Cohn reflects on the challenges facing ESPN amid streaming, AI, and intensified competition, saying she is glad she is not starting out in the industry today.

  • Linda Cohn argues that journalistic writing skills and conversational communication — honed through radio — give non-athlete broadcasters a lasting edge over ex-professional athletes entering sports media.

  • Episode close with Bloomberg Intelligence podcast availability reminder, Windows 11 Pro, Venture Global, and 4imprint sponsor reads.

B2B (Business-to-Business)
Commerce between businesses rather than between a business and a consumer; in logistics, B2B shipments typically carry higher profit margins than consumer parcel delivery.
B2C (Business-to-Consumer)
Commerce between a business and individual end consumers; in logistics, B2C delivery is typically lower-margin and dominated by e-commerce parcels.
Whisper number
An informal, unpublished earnings estimate circulated among professional investors that often differs from the official analyst consensus; stocks can fall if results miss the whisper number even when beating the consensus.
Spinoff
A corporate action in which a parent company separates a division into an independent publicly traded company; FedEx completed a spinoff of its freight unit prior to this earnings report.
Fiscal calendar vs. calendar year
A fiscal year is a company's 12-month accounting period, which may not align with the January-December calendar year; FedEx transitioned to calendar-year reporting, causing some investor confusion around guidance comparisons.
El Niño
A large-scale climate phenomenon in which Pacific Ocean surface temperatures are warmer than average, producing downstream effects on global weather patterns including reduced Atlantic hurricane activity.
Tropical cyclone
A rotating storm system originating over warm ocean waters; the same phenomenon is called a hurricane in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific, and a typhoon in the Western Pacific.
Category 5
The highest rating on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, indicating sustained winds exceeding 157 mph; Hurricane Melissa was described as the strongest Category 5 in the modern era.
NOAA
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration — the US federal agency responsible for weather forecasting, climate monitoring, and oceanic research; considered the gold standard for hurricane prediction.
DOGE
Department of Government Efficiency — the advisory body associated with the Trump administration's federal spending and workforce reduction initiative, which resulted in layoffs at NOAA.
Training data
The historical dataset used to teach a machine-learning model to recognise patterns; AI weather models trained on past storm data may struggle to predict unprecedented events not represented in that dataset.
Bottom line (ESPN)
The ticker of live sports scores scrolling along the bottom of the television screen, introduced by ESPN and now standard across sports broadcasting.
SportsCenter
ESPN's flagship sports news and highlights programme, which has run continuously since ESPN's launch in 1979.
NSMA Hall of Fame
The National Sports Media Association Hall of Fame, which honours distinguished sports journalists and broadcasters; Linda Cohn was inducted in 2017.
Rejiggering
Informal term for adjusting or rearranging; used by Lee Klaskow to describe analysts revising their earnings models to align with FedEx's new guidance.
VIX
The CBOE Volatility Index — a real-time measure of expected stock market volatility derived from S&P 500 options; often called the 'fear gauge'. Referenced in a Public.com advertisement.

Chapter 2 · 01:03

Sponsor: IBM AI & Show Introduction

IBM advertisement highlighting AI resolving 94% of HR questions, followed by Bloomberg Intelligence podcast intro.

Chapter 3 · 01:58

FedEx Q4 Earnings Recap

Lee Klaskow reviews FedEx's fiscal Q4 earnings beat on cost controls, demand picture, data center tailwinds, and the shift to calendar-year reporting that may have confused investors.

Chapter 4 · 04:25

FedEx vs. Amazon: Competition and B2B Strategy

Lee Klaskow explains why Amazon's logistics expansion isn't a direct threat to FedEx, which prefers higher-margin B2B business over consumer parcel delivery.

Chapter 8 · 07:58

AI Hurricane Forecasting: How AI Models Are Changing Weather

Ryan Ward introduces AI weather models now deployed for tropical cyclone forecasting, outperforming traditional models built over 30+ years — all in just their first real-world season.

Chapter 9 · 09:32

Hurricane Melissa: AI's Ultimate Stress Test

Google DeepMind's AI model correctly predicted Hurricane Melissa's path and intensity despite the unprecedented storm never appearing in training data.

Chapter 10 · 10:32

El Niño, Atlantic vs. Pacific Hurricane Season

Ryan Ward explains El Niño's suppressing effect on Atlantic hurricanes, with NOAA forecasting 3–6 storms, while the eastern Pacific may see increased activity.

Chapter 11 · 12:08

NOAA Funding Cuts and Hurricane Prediction Risk

Discussion of DOGE-related NOAA meteorologist layoffs and rehiring pushes, raising concerns about continuity of the gold-standard US hurricane forecasting agency.

Chapter 14 · 15:53

Linda Cohn's 34-Year ESPN Career and Retirement

Linda Cohn reflects on joining ESPN in 1992, anchoring 5,000 SportsCenter episodes, and watching the score ticker go from hated innovation to television staple.

Chapter 15 · 18:30

Linda Cohn's Childhood, Hockey, and Path to Broadcasting

Linda Cohn shares her origin story: a shy kid with thick glasses who found identity through sports and as a teenage goalie forced to play with 8-year-old boys, building resilience that shaped her career.

Chapter 17 · 24:48

What Non-Athlete Broadcasters Bring to Sports TV

Linda Cohn argues that journalistic writing skills and conversational communication — honed through radio — give non-athlete broadcasters a lasting edge over ex-professional athletes entering sports media.

No indexed bits in this chapter.

Show stoppers

Snapshots ()

Key Quotes ()

This episode

Claims & Sources

2 / 12 cited (17%)

Factual claims made this episode, and whether a source was named.

FedEx's EPS guidance for the upcoming year topped out at $18.10, slightly below analyst whisper numbers by roughly a dime to a quarter.

Lee Klaskow no source cited

AI hurricane models deployed in 2025 outperformed all existing models that have been in use for over 30 years.

Ryan Ward no source cited

Google DeepMind's AI model correctly predicted the path and intensity of Hurricane Melissa despite the storm being entirely absent from its training data.

Ryan Ward Google DeepMind AI model

Hurricane Melissa was the strongest Category 5 hurricane in the modern era.

Ryan Ward no source cited

NOAA forecasts between 3 and 6 Atlantic hurricanes in the current season due to El Niño conditions, compared to an average of about 7.

Ryan Ward NOAA

Over 50 years of historical data confirm that El Niño years produce fewer Atlantic hurricanes.

Ryan Ward no source cited

Amazon recently announced it was broadening its logistics services to third parties, though it had been offering similar services informally for some time.

Lee Klaskow no source cited

Linda Cohn joined ESPN in July 1992 and anchored her 5,000th SportsCenter in early 2016, the most of any anchor in ESPN history.

Linda Cohn no source cited

Linda Cohn was inducted into the National Sports Media Association Hall of Fame in 2017.

Linda Cohn no source cited

FedEx's B2B business has been benefiting from data center construction, which involves transporting technology components to build sites.

Lee Klaskow no source cited

FedEx shares were up 35% year-to-date before the post-spinoff earnings report.

Paul Sweeney no source cited

IBM's AI system resolves 94% of common HR questions for a global workforce of 300,000 employees.

Paul Sweeney IBM

This episode

Cast

  • Track

Stats

Episode stats

Insight Overview

insights
chapters

Insight distribution

Sub-Categories

Speaker breakdown

Talk Time